Federer vs Goffin by FairPlayBet
Surface - Clay court
Federer, Roger (SUI) - Goffin, David (Belgium)
(3) ranking (109)
9790 points 500
(0) previous meetings (0)
Roger Federer defends in Paris final from last year, but if he wants to repeat such result or at least to enter into semi-finals, then very soon he should start to play much better. So far in three rounds played, he never covered the under games line. What more against Adrian Ungur and Nicolas Mahut, Federer even had to play 4th set.
But today, I think this is chance for Federer to raise the form. Goffin is the player with the weakest ranking among all left on the tournament. Also he is almost without any experience of playing against Top 10 players. Goffin only has two meetings with world No.8 (Janko Tipsarevic) which he lost both, plus it was at time when Tipsarevic still was not on this high position.
Also we should not forget the fatigue factor given on fact that player from Belgium already two times was on the court in marathon matches of five sets played.
IMO 27.5 is good line for under games choice since I doubt that Goffin will win against Federer more than 3 games per set.
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|Under 27.5 games||12bet||1.84||9||3-1 LOST (-9 units)|