Djokovic vs Nadal by FairPlayBet

ATP Rome - Italy, final


Surface - Clay court


Novak Djokovic (SER) - Rafael Nadal (SPA)


(1) ranking (3)


11200 points 9150


(14) previous meetings (17)


The rain has moved the final in Rome for tomorrow so that gave me a chance to try my luck with this pick. Djokovic and Nadal will meet again, third time in this season and again in one ATP final. The same was in last 8 head to head - every time it was in ATP final. But this is the first time that Nadal will enter the match from position no.3 on ATP standings. So, he lost even position no.2 but it will be very interesting today. With win for Spanish player, all three (Djokovic, Federer and Nadal will be in less than 1000 points difference.


In the term of winner, it will be very hard to predict but I feel it will be very long match. The start is scheduled for 12:00 so that there will be plenty of time for a tennis marathon which I expect here.


So far on the tour, I would say that Nadal was slightly better player, but it does not need to mean anything. The same was with Federer but Novak won SF more or less easily. Of course against best player on clay court it will be much harder for world no.1 but at the same time meeting with Djokovic will be the most difficult task for Nadal so far in Rome.


There's not much to say here. I mean when two players need to meet each other for the 32nd time in their career, then everything is well known. I can add only that there are no injuries problems for any of them. So, both will be completely ready, both are in solid form and to me everything smell on the three sets match. IMO over is the best choice for this final (in all options, games and sets). Still, the best odds over 2.5 sets are only 2.25 so I see great value in these 3.35 for over 28.5 games. If this match really enter the 3rd set what I believe, then IMO 29 games is possible to achieve. Djokovic and Nadal are not players who can play 3 sets match and all of sets to finish with convincing result. I expect one tie-break set or at least 7-5 and then even 6-3 and 6-2 in other two would be enough.

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Over 28.5 games Unibet 3.35 7 0-2 LOST (-7 units)
0 0
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