Del Potro vs David Ferrer by FairPlayBet

ATP Miami(USA), 4th round

 

Surface - Hardcourt

 

Juan Martin Del Potro (ARG) vs David Ferrer (SPA)

 

(11) ranking (5)

 

2660 points 4700

 

(2) previous meetings (3)

 

Unfortunately I have not had a chance to watch much of David Ferrer's recent tennis, but I did not have to. Only with one look on these odds for win today 1.50-2.70, it is clear that Ferrer was not close to his best tennis. Player who is better on rankings, guy who is current 5th player of the world, player who has better head to head in this match up, simply can't be such big underdog. But he is underdog today and that means Ferrer should play much better if he wants to cope with Del Potro. But I believe in this player. David Ferrer is a big fighter. He is able to run on the court to exhaustion. There is no lost points for him, until they are really lost. Such tennis maybe wont suit to Del Potro who has amazing forehand, but if he fails to ending points early, then he will be in trouble.

 

So, I expect close match here and looking on some previous results of both players, where I see the most equal match, it is in first set. Both players have strong 1st service that should not be broken early in the match. Between over games for entire match and this over 10.5 games for 1st set, I choose the second option. In addition to the above explanations, amazing odds for second option are also one of the reasons for my pick.

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Tip Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Over 10.5 (1st set) William Hill 2.90 4 3-6 LOST (-4 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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