Atletico Tucuman vs FC Oeste
Infact, about first point, Tucuman is at his do or die match to hope in playoffs, yet. With 50 points and three rounds to the end the team can mantain their hopes to gain playoffs, now five points far, winning this match.
Ferro Carril has 46 points, too far from playoffs and already sure of permanence, so no motivation for them.
Recent form of the two teams seems in favour of guests, with Tucuman with only one win in last seven rounds (1-2-4) and Ferro Carril with only one match lost in last four; but to balance this situation, we can say that Ferro is very weak away, thrid from bottom as perfomances and with the worst away defence (with Aldovisi) that suffered 29 goals in 17 matches.
Another point in favour of hosts is the fact that for them only two players are out and not of big importance -Rodríguez (striker 8+1 1goal) and Granero(midf. 10+3)- at the same time they recover Buffarini (midf. 9+15 2 goals); more heavy, in number and quality, absences of guests, with Garcia (midf. 13+1 2goals), Aquino (midf. 10+15 1goal), Ferreyra (midf. 13+2), Salvatierra (midf. 24+3 1goal) and Imboden (def. 19) all out.
The last two are keyplayers in the team and midfield seems really thin with four players unavailable. To this we must add lack of motivations and weak form and defense in away matches.
So, an home win seems reasonable here
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