Monfils vs Federer by Beatle
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
1) Monfils showed great psychological strength yesterday and he defeated Ferrer after he lost 4th set 6-1. Yes, he was looking very tired but I believe that he will prepare much better for this game as he had a lot more time to rest.
2) At some point Federer may be very unmotivated. I think that will happen in this game when he'll face really unpredictable and not standart opponent. I mean this shots which Monfils is firing... it's just not normal.
3) Home crowd will support this boy heavily and will push him to fight. 5-1 to Fed in h2h but the last game he lost to Frenchman was in Paris... nice clue.
4) Monfils knows how to win against Fed so he will not have this psychological barrier which he had in the first 5 meetings. Fed is also not the same one like he was 2-3 years ago and clay is still not his best surface.
5) Again, +6.5 is a handi when one set to Monfils (1 break or double break is better ) will almost guarantee the money for us. It's a good deal because seriously I dont believe Monfils will just lose it 0-3. He will fight.
6) Monfils defeated Nr.3 clay court player of this year and that will give him certain psychological power.
7) The opponents which Fed was facing where 2 levels below Monfils .. they are just low-med players at the moment because of the current form (except Lopez, but Fed couldn't win with 7 games against Lopez). Wawrinka is a friend of his and he knows how to defeat him easily. Tipsarevic is not in the best shape and Teixeira... well...
Monfils +6.5 @ 2.16.
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|Monfils +6.5||Pinnacle||2.16||9||0-3 WON (+10.44 units)|