Other vs Other by Jamesington

The Players Championship.

For the month of May I have taken a different approach, many of my tips will be longer term ones, perhaps published a few weeks in advance to take advantage of better odds.

The first thing I should point out is that when betting on golf there is very often good/better odds available when betting in running. If your player has a poor start then his odds could drift disproportionately to his chances of winning or if he starts well then the likelihood is that his odds will be shrunk rapidly. I have chosen to tip pre-tournament to maximise the value available through a combination of Each-Way selections. I found it hard to leave out 70/1 Graeme McDowell and 80/1 Lucas Glover but have narrowed my selections down to a four man 'stable' eventually.

The Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass is, after the Majors, the most prestigious tournament on tour. There is a $1.71 million prize for the winner as well as a place in history.

One man who has already won this tournament is Tiger Woods. Tiger has had his problems recently, both on and off the course, through his marital dispute and injury - and because of this, he has not been playing at the level we are all familiar with. In the same way as a Lebron James or Lionel Messi, everyone always expects a world class performance from Tiger whenever he plays.

Woods has been playing well of late actually, for a normal player. In his last nine strokeplay PGA Tour appearances, Tiger has EIGHT top 30 finishes although crucially they include no wins. He is winless since 2009 - like Lucas Glover, who won last week (as tipped by me). Tiger registered a fourth place finish in the Masters (he was the top American) and if he plays the way he did at Augusta, particularly over the weekend, then he will find himself certainly in the mix in Florida this week.

Tiger won the Players Championship in 2001 here and he also placed 8th in 2009 before injury ruined his appearance last year. Woods also won here in 1994 in the US Amateur Championship. Tiger to win 3pts @ 16.0

Ben Crane - although he has not won the Players Championship previously - has come very close. In the past three years he has finished 4th, 5th and 6th, impressive by anyone's standards. The 35-year-old Oregon native has SEVEN top 25 finishes on tour this year in eight attempts and he is a course specialist here. He is tied 12th in accuracy from both the tee and fairway on the PGA tour this season so he is playing good golf - if he can bring that sort of accuracy to Sawgrass then he will certainly be close to the title. 1pt Each Way @ 34.0

My two other selections are probably the world's two most 'in-form' golfers over the past six months. Luke Donald and Jonathan Byrd are both in the top ten in the FedEx Cup standings (Donald 2nd, Byrd 9th).

Jonathan Byrd has won around $3 million in the past six months with his two tour victories (including one sealed with a hole-in-one) and a second place finish last week. I hope he can take this form with him to Sawgrass as he is one of my current favourite players on the Tour and it would be good to see his consistent good play rewarded with a strong finish at a big tournament. 1pt E/W @ 81.0

If Byrd has been 'in form' then Luke Donald has simply written the form book. After his Million-Euro win at the WGC Matchplay Championship he came sixth at the next WGC event and fourth in The 2011 Masters at Augusta. Donald also has a recent second place at The Heritage tournament. The crazy thing about his season is that we still haven't mentioned the other two of his top ten finishes! Donald has entered seven PGA tour events and incredibly come in the top ten in SIX of them. Donald also has a 2nd place finish in this tournament from 2005. Safe to say, the statistics point to him doing well this week. 1.5pts E/W @ 18.0

Staking Plan for The Players Championship (Each Way

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Byrd/Crane/Donald E/W - Woods to Win Bet365 1.18 10 Choi WON (+1.8 units)
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