Livorno vs Padova by Mrgol
In weekend i made a pick on a win for Livorno and a lost (or at list a draw) for Padova, and in both cases my bets were lost.
But i think that things could change today.
First of all, Livorno.
They have a day more to rest, played Friday, and recover important midfielder Dionisi (20atts 3 goals). The only forced change will be Salviato (def 11atts+5) at the place of Perticone (def. 20atts.) injuried.
Another change could happen in goal, where regualr de Lucia seemed out of form on Friday - with a mistake in one of the goals suffered suffered - and could be replaced by Mazzoni (no atts this year).
This is an important match for trainer Pillon, after two consecutive defeats already seems in danger to be replaced if will come another lose.
Padova has only two points less then Livorno (but Livorno is in playoffs zone), but has two problems. The first is that is the worst away team in championship with 0-5-5 8/15 (worst away attack).
The second is that has many important absences: saturday were out first and second topscorers - striker Succi (20atts 15 goals) and midfielder Di Gennaro (17atts. 5 goals), regular keeper Agliardi and midfielder Italiano (11atts.), defender Crespo (21 atts 1 goal).
In spite of these absences they won but they played at home, against a team of not the same strenght of Livorno and that played to gain one point with 0-0.
For this match all these absences are confirmed and probably will be out also important midfielder Bovo (21atts 2 goals).
With all these absences - that scored 23 on 33 goals scored by this team - and with a team already weak in attack when plays away i think that also the absence of a regular defender in Livorno and the decision - if confirmed - to put 2nd keeper in goal- shouldn' t have a negative effect, considering also that home team and home trainer are in needs to win and Livorno is more rested.
So, I don't think in another negative surprise from Livorno that should win here
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|Livorno||Betsson||2.05||7||3-3 LOST (-7 units)|