Russia vs Croatia by Beatle

Line is too small imo. I would rate the total on 149.5 or 150 points. Look at the stats - Croatia conceded 79 from Israel, 76 from Greece and 71 from Macedonia (!). So, if bookies do think that Croatia wil easily win the match ( with -6.5 handicap ) this is one of the good bet for this match I suppose.

First reason - Croatia do concede a lot of easy baskets from solid teams or even from not very strong squads like Israel or Macedonia. So their defence is not that strongest part of their team. Their strongest side is attack - they scored 86 to Israel, 68 to Greece and 81 to Macedonia. I do expect they will continue to show us great attaking style.

Russia will paly for the win surely but the main reason why I don't pick handicap here is because Russia is really weaker than Croatia. Still, they can surprise at any moment ! That's why I won't pick handicap here. Let's take a look at the stats. Russians conceded 68 against Latvia, 76 from Germany, 69 from France. So, from the first look their defence looks solid. But I think it's only because their attacks are long and their opponents just have no enough time to score more, not because russians are great at defence ! One more thing - croats have better attack than France I suppose and Croatia will convert more free throws tomorrow than France have done it yesterday. They were just awful. Match against France was terribly low scoring and I think it won't happen two matches back to back. They scored 81 point to Latvia and 73 points to Germany and I think 70 points will be enough here to cover our total.

All-in-all, I expect a high scoring game because croats have very strong attack and russians will fight for the win here. Game against France was very low scoring and I don't expect to happen that one more time. Not tomorrow, not against strong Croatia.

Best of Luck !

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Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
over 146 Pinnacle 1.98 8 62-59 LOST (-8 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
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