Guimaraes vs Pacos Ferreira by Nvieira
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Guimaraes and his coach Rui Vitoria have been one of the nicest surprises of portuguese premier ligue - they have playing superb football, they only tied against FC Porto, and for example they have won (3-0) in belenenses field with a player less for almost 70 minutes :) they have a very strong midfield (nii plange, bernard mensah and alex are in a great moment of their careers), for me this is a possibility they have to go in the lead of first division, they will start with heavy pressure trying to get an early lead and then managing that with deadly counter attacks from that moment onwards.
P Ferreira has Paulo Ferreira has their head coach again, and I don't really believe in him a lot - he had a spell two years ago (with this same team) but after that he didn't display much competence - this year P Ferreira seems to be again a team to fight the relegation battle - the truth is they lack the quality to other objectives - they have a couple of very good player on the wingers mainly (Sergio Oliveira, andrezinho and filipe anunciacao) but as a team they don't have the game routine to challenge teams like Guimaraes at the moment.
It is also a local derby, so both teams will be very keen on getting the result for their supporters, guimaraes won't be happy defending a narrow lead because their supporters are quite demanding in home derbies like this one.
For me the value bet is on the home handicap - they have better players, are playing a lot better football, and they won't settle for a one goal margin in this game. The handicap seems to good to be true.
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|Guimaraes to Win (-1.5 goals) AH||Ladbrokes||3.82||7||1-1 LOST (-7 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.