Castres Olympique vs Oyonnax by Sebmc
Castres Olympique, was finalist of TOP 14 last season but it has a very difficult start of the season. Indeed, after five days, Castres is last of the championship with one win. This is the only team of TOP 14 that has win less than two games this season. Castres is very worrying for the moment. During the first day, Castres lost “at home” in Beziers against Stade Français before losing again to Toulouse.
During the third day, the CO played in its staidum Stade Pierre-Antoine and has celebrated it by winning the offensive bonus against Bayonne. But CO relapsed and was then heavily beaten to Montpellier and La Rochelle in the previous day. Castres suffered in conquest. They were dominate in scrum and lost several important line-outs.
In this season, Castres also had quite a problem with wounded players. For this meeting, some should recover : Palis, Garvey and key prop Karena Wihongi. Yannick Forestier, Herrera, Sivivatu and Evans, however, are still injured. In the last game, Martial and Cabannes returned.
If Castres lack a bit of power in third line, they have great players as the hinge of international players Kockott-Talès, Mach wingers Garvey and Martial or the second row Gray.
Bin scrum, the problem could be solved with the return of Karena Wihongi. However, he should start on the bench.
Oyonnax has accomplished its target during the previous day with offensive bonus against Grenoble (40-27). This good performance allows them to go back to the ninth position of the TOP 14.
This meeting was very demanding for both teams with plenty of time of play very long and very severe shocks. Players are exhausted out of this match especially Oyonnax because it played two games with roughly the same starting XV. After this tricky away, USO receives twice Clermont and Toulon. They will receive Clermont on Friday so they will only have 6 days to recover. Some players need to rest like Jenneker, Soane Tonga'uiha, Browne, Fa'asavalu, Urdapilleta, Aguillon, Le Bourhis, Denos. It is likely that the coaches decided not to include these players in the group or place them on the bench. Players like Smit, Luatua, Jullien, Fabbri, Lespinas who have very little play (or not play at all) this season should start or at least be in the group.
It’s hard to bet without the strating XV but since the USO can not line-up the same team in five consecutive games (Lyon, Grenoble, Castres, Clermont, Toulon) and will not make a turnover on home games, coaches will decide to field a mixed team in the Tarn. Castres should garner maximum points after its disastrous start to the season. I see them winning widely and take the offensive bonus. Handicaps should quickly increase.
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|Castres -14||BetVictor||1.91||10||27-18 LOST (-10 units)|