Sela vs Groth by Serialtips
I continue to bet against Sela, nothing personal of course, I just keep my logic to bet against him when he plays against someone with big serve. I already said that he doesn't like that profile of players like all the short height's players, recently he just lost in 2 sets against Isner and twice in 2 sets against Karlovic (besides he always lost against Karlovic), I also remember his huge loss against De Schepper in indoor even if it was a long time ago. There is only this win against Querrey recently which doesn't confirm this "logic" but Querrey played an absolute shitty match on this day.
Groth's main weapon is his serve of course, he can easily serve at more than 210 km/h on each first serve. He is quite limited on his baseline, but he made some improvement recently which permit him to do good tournaments on grass and then a decent tournament of Bogota where he lost against Gasquet in 2 tie breaks and without losing his serve. Here he is a lucky loser, indeed he failed during the last round of qualifications while he was seeded n°1, but I suspect him to keep his energy during this last match of qualifications because there was a rumour about a withdraw of Dimitrov (which is finally true) just before his match and I am sure that he knew it, so as seeded n°1, he would be sure to be the lucky loser.
Also, Sela just did a great tournament in Atlanta, and we know that usually players who aren't top one struggle to confirm on the next tournament and often lose quickly on first or second round.
Moreover, Groth leads head-to-head by 1-0.
I keep my strategy to play in 2 sets even if I know that it won't be easy here, I just decrease my usual stake according to Betshoot's rules.
So I think that Groth will win this match, I try his win in 2 sets.
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|S.Groth 2-0||Winner||5.00||6||2-1 LOST (-6 units)|