Italy vs Uruguay by iSpree
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
England is already out of the WC as Costa Rica won vs Italy. So the last chance is gone for them. Costa Rica made the big surprise as they managed to qualify for the next round. They played for nothing, played as a team and suceed. I feel happy for them. On the other side one more big favorite will knocked out today. In this match the looser can drive home but i think Italy is in a better position.
Italy has 3 points and with 1 more goal difference than Uruquay they would be in final stages if they draw today. Because Uruquay has 3 points too. Costa Rica went into the match against Italy with no speculations. They knew that they already has 3 points but in this group this means nothing. They had to go for the next win and played for nothing as they did in the first match and they suceeded. Costa Rica is now sitting on top of the group with 6 points. I think thid situation can be compared to Mexicos yesterday. Mexico also only needed a draw. They played defensively with a good defense and managed to score from counter-attacks. Today there wont be a difference i think. Italy has a good well-experienced defense who are almost all in the same team in Seria A, Juventus, so they knew each other very well. Italy will want to play on counter attack and park the bus. So i think they will at least score 1 goal from a counter attack. Balotelli, Insigne, Immobile and Cerci are good finishers and so they will be very efficient in my opinion. Uruquay will despair on their defense and run into a counter attack might be a consequence.
Uruquay must win here. They has same points as Italy but a worse goal difference. Suarez saved Uruquay last match with 2 important goals. In the first match he didnt played and that was a big loss for them. Cavani is good, but he is no Suarez, who is one of the best finishers in the WC or even in the world. At Liverpool he helped them almost to the title. In the last matches they failed in one match. Suarez might try it a few times but i think he wont break trough the strong defense of Italy who know they only need a draw and will defende very strong.
Italy will do all to go for the draw but i think with Pirlo, Balotelli and Co they should at least score one goal after a counter attack. Uruquay will go more offensive and run into another counter attacks. So i think Italy will finish at least with a draw but with some dangerous counter attacks Uruquay will maybe concede a goal as consequence. Over/Under would be a bit risky as i think it also could end 2-0 or 1-0 for Italy. 2-1 or 1-1 would be also possible if Suarez shot a sensational goal how he always do.
Italy AH 0.0 - odds: 1.83 - stake 8/10
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|Italy 0.0 AH||Bet365||1.83||8||0-1 LOST (-8 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.