Brazil vs Semifinals by JerryDrake
WORLD CUP 2014 - TO REACH THE SEMIFINALS: BRAZIL
This is a bet offered by William Hill. Brazil are offered with odds 1.83 to reach the Top 4 at the World Cup.
I think that Brazil will have a straight way to the semifinals, this meaning that the host of the World Cup Brazil 2014 will have to play 7 games: 3 in the group stage, 1 in the Round of 16, 1 in the QF, 1 in the semifinals and 1 final (1st-2nd place or 3th-4th place).
The Selecao will have one major target in the group stage: to arrive 1st in the group. In this way the would reach the Round of 16 as "A1" and in their way to the semifinals they will have the teams C1, E1 and G1. Having a look at the favorites of each group we can imagine that they will be Colombia, France and Germany. By arriving second, Brazil would risk to meet B1, D1, F1 and H1 (they could be Spain, Italy, Argentina and Belgium). They would prefer Colombia rather than Spain or Italy in the Quarter Finals.
A look at past hosting teams
From 1978 until today I remember many great hosting teams and some weak teams. Strong ones: Argentina in 1978, Italy in 1990, France in 1998, Germany in 2006 the strong ones, Spain in 1982, Mexico in 1986, USA in 1994, South Korea and Japan in 2002, South Africa in 2010 the weak ones. As you can see, it is tradition that a strong hosting team arrives in the top 4 as Argentina won the World Cup in 1978, Italy arrived 3th in 1990, France won the World Cup in 1998 and Germany arrived 3rd in 2006.
Voa, canarinho voa
Behind the Brazilian players there will not be only one country. It will be a big part of the world to follow the matches of the Canarinhos, in every country. Even in Italy we will have many people waiting for a good performance of the Selecao (if they dont play against Italy). A "Maracanazo" can happen, no doubts about it, but until the semifinal it will not happen in my opinion. The semifinal is a target that Brazil must reach, the final is the target that Brazil should reach, to win the cup is the dream that can become reality. (And they would become hexacampeao). For our bet lets concentrate in what should be "sure".
A strong and expert team
It doesnt happen that often to see a young strong team like Brazil having this high degree of experience. Starting from the attack: Neymar (Barcelona) 48/31, Fred (Fluminense) 33/16, Hulk (Zenit SP) 34/9. Midfield: Oscar (Chelsea) 30/9, Ramires (Chelsea) 42/4, Paulinho (Tottenham) 25/5. Defense: Dani Alves (Barcelona) 74/6, David Luiz (Chelsea) 35/0, Thiago Silva (PSG) 45/2, Marcelo (Real Madrid) 30/4. Not enough? Jo, Bernard, Hernanes, Luiz Gustavo, Willian, Fernandinho, Maicon, Dante, Henrique. Maxwell. My only concern is the goalkeeper as Julio Cesar plays for Toronto. Maybe we will see Victor or Jefferson? Brazil have a young and strong attack and a series of strong and experienced defenders. Perfect. Usually they have weak points but they dont have this time.
I think that Brazil will make 7 or 9 points in the Group A (leaving maybe one point for Cameroon in the 3rd game if they will keep energies for the Round of 16), they then should defeat Holland or Chile in the Round of 16 (but they would defeat even Spain), and Colombia or England (or Uruguay) in the QF (I must hope that Italy will arrive first, if not we will be the victims of Brazil in the QF). At this point they can meet France or Germany in the semifinal.
Everything is a should-could but I consider this odds a good medium-term investment.
Bet: Brazil to reach the semifinals, odds: 1.83 William Hill, stake: 10/10
|Semifinals: Brazil||Marathonbet||1.83||10||Yes WON (+8.3 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.