LASK Linz vs Villacher by Goleador
Austria, Regionalliga Mitte (Central)
LASK Linz - Villacher SV
First to mention for this pick: LASK is playing for nothing in this game, as they are champions of Regionalliga Mitte with seven points advantage on this last gameday. Villach on 14th spot can´t avoid relegation on their own. They most hope, that LASK wins the promotion playoff vs Parndorf, and if they loose this match, WAC II (currently 15th) should not win vs St Florian.
LASK is now preparing for the most important game this year. The play-of game vs Erste Liga club Parndorf for the spot in Erste Liga. This play off spot was fixed early, after Pasching decided not the apply for the Erste Liga license. What followed was a flourish. Pasching and LASK will start a cooperation, where LASK should play in Erste Liga and Pasching should be a club to train younger players. However, Tomorrow LASK will play with a kind of second team, to rest some players for the important game on 2th June vs Parndorf. Although of this situation LASK has a wide squad with 18 players, who have played more than ten times this season and 8 players, who have scored four or more goals. I think, also if LASK will play with a "second team" they will have a strong line-up and many players, who have the goal to present themselves, also to play in the Erste Liga squad next year (if they get promotion).
The last games LASK didn´t show a good perfromance all time, also because of early promotion playoff spot and championship. Anyway LASK has won the last 11 home games in Regionalliga and a general home record of 13-1-1 this Regionalliga season. LASK is one of very few completly professional team (where all players are full-time football players) in Regionalliga, which means more training and quality.
Villacher SV is currently on 14th place with two points advantage on 15th placed WAC II. If they stay 14th after this gamedays and LASK gets promotion vs Parndorf they stay in league. In any other case, the team will go down to Landesliga Kärnten. Only with a win tomorrow VSV could fix their place, but with a draw of VSV and a win of WAC II, it would be equal points, but after hurting a Regionalliga laws it was decided VSV would be behind in any case of equality by points. VSV had problems all season, a very young team and injuries.
VSV lost the last four matches in a row, also maybe because of injury problems. I don´t know, how exaclty will play or not play on the next game, but after the problems in the last games, the atmosphere isn´t the best and also the self confidence shouldn´t be very high. Villach is the worst away team, with a record of 1-2-11 and I think it won´t improve in the next game.
All in all LASK has the far better squad and usully (usual league game, equal motivation, best line ups) odds around 1.1-1.2 would fair. But under these conditions a higher odd is equitable for me 1.65-1.7. So for me 1.83 has great value and also a second squad of LASK shoud beat VSV.
MY PICK: LASK LINZ (Odd: 1.83)
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|LASK Linz||Bet365||1.83||8||4-0 WON (+6.64 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.