Vinci vs Outright Winner

In this years edition of the Oeiras WTA tournament I am picking Roberta Vinci to win the title. At this moment all the players are in the quarterfinals stage and the final is very close. In Vinci's half of the table the players remaining are Bouchard Eugenie who will face Svetlana Kuznetsova and Elena Vesnina who faces Vinci. On the other half of the table there are the following players Carla Suarez-Navarro who will be facing Polona Hercog and Timea Bacsinszky who will play against Irina Begu.

 

Vinci is the 4th seed here and also she is considered the 4th favorite by the bookies in terms of odds to win this tournament. She won so far against Alexandra Cadantu 6-2, 4-6, 6-1 and Yanina Wickmayer 6-0, 6-2. In her next match against Vesnina I don't think she is going to have a lot of problems to be honest. The reason I say that is because Vesnina usually doesn't play a lot on clay and also in her previous round she had a very hard and long match(3 hours and 3 minutes to be more exact) against Bojana Jovanovski 5-7, 7-5, 7-6(7), which I don't think she will be able to recover from so fast.

 

If she advances she will either face Kuznetsova or Bouchard. That will be a hard match for her no matter the opponent by I think she will still have the edge given that neither of those players really like clay surfaces that much. Also I am expecting a very tight affair from Kuznetsova and Bouchard and that will probably make for a long match which will tire the winner for the semis.

 

In the other half of the table the one to beat is Carla Suarez-Navarro. I think she is going to get to the final as she has managed in both 2012 and 2013(she lost both of them). The only thing is I don't think the odds offered by the bookies have a lot of value, as 3.25 for her to win this tournament seems a bit low. There are still some very good players left and I really don't see her as such a big favorite. I also think that she will have a very hard time against Hercog who is a clay court specialist and has managed good result in the past on this surface. In the other match on this half Bacsinszky vs Begu I can't see any of them having a chance against either Suarez-Navarro of Hercog so I'm not going to say a lot about them. Sure you can say that Bacsinszky won against Stosur and Begu against Kanpei but to be fair those players started the clay court season rather badly and in my opinion underperformed in those matches.

 

Overall I think Vinci has the ability to play her best tennis on clay surfaces and she looked quite good so far in this tournament . Given the good odds and her level of experience, along with the fact that she won 6 clay tournaments so far in her career I think this might end up being a decent bet.

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Vinci to win the Oeiras WTA tournament Pinnacle 6.50 8 Lost LOST (-8 units)
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