Leonardo Mayer vs Sousa by Tennisguy
This is a first round match from the Oeiras ATP tournament(clay) between Leonardo Mayer from Argentina and Joao Sousa from Portugal.
Mayer is ranked 88 and Sousa 40. They haven't met in a h2h match before.
Mayer had to pass the qualifying stages to get to the main draw. There he defeated Philipp Oswald 7-6(5), 7-6(2), Duarte Vale 6-3, 6-1 and Roberto Carballes Baena 1-6, 6-3, 6-1. In the match against Roberto Carballes Baena he was a set and 3-1 down and fought his way back to get a very good win. I think he is going to have a very good moral in this first tour because of this and is going to play his best tennis. This year he is 8-7 on clay courts and has managed an ATP final in Vina del Mar where he lost to Fognini. Even so there he managed to win against some good clay court players like Robredo, Gimeno-Traver and Giraldo so he definitely has the stuff to beat Sousa today. There is also the factor that because Mayer played 3 qualif. matches he might be more comfortable with the surface and conditions.
Sousa is 3-5 on clay this year and has 3 losses in a row on this surface. He lost to Roberto Carballes Baena, Fabio Fognini and Marinko Matosevic. The worst one was against Fognini where he really should have won the match after being a set up and 5-2 in the second. I think that match really hurt him and that showed when he played Matosevic in the first round of the Barcelona ATP. He is playing in Portugal now and he is surely going to have the crowd's support. That however might not necessarily be the best thing for him as I believe it will make him more emotional and thus more likely to not play his best.
This is probably going to be a tight match but I think between the two Mayer will be the one better prepared and if he plays like he did in the second half of the Carballes Baena match he is going to manage to take this one also.
Play now US Players are welcome
|Leonardo Mayer to win||Pinnacle||2.37||9||2-1 WON (+12.33 units)|