Atletico Madrid vs Chelsea by JerryDrake

Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Atletico-Madrid
VS
Chelsea
ATLETICO MADRID - CHELSEA

 

Invencible Vicente

 

40 years after playing their last Champions semifinal, Atletico will host Chelsea in the first leg of the 2013-2014 Champions League semifinals. In the other semifinal there will be the second 1974 finalist and winner, Bayern Munich. Stadium Vicente Calderón is ready for this challenge: Atletico are undefeated in their own stadium in CL (5-0-0, 14-2) as well as in the Spanish league (15-3-0, 48/9).

 

My name is Nobody

 

In the interviews pre-match all interviewed Atletico players stated the same concept: “We have won nothing”. No better way to prepare this match. Atletico players are self-confident but also realistic and humble, prepared and moderate in their statements and thoughts. The same as their trainer: Simeone: “Mourinho is better than me”. Mourinho: “Simeone is not better than me”. Are they both right or both wrong? In my opinion Simone scored the first goal giving a good psychological advantage to his team.

 

New ages

 

Mourinho stated in an interview in February: “We dont have a goalscorer. Samuel Eto'o. Yes, Eto'o, but he is 32, maybe even 35, I dont know”. A report in a newspaper suggested Eto'o was 39. No matter his age, he will not play tonight due to injury. Who surely is 35 is Frank Lampard, 36 in June. He is not injured but he will not play. Thibaut Courtois is 21 and he is the goalkeeper of Atletico Madrid on loan from Chelsea. The Londoners vetoed him through a penatly clause in the loan agreement but the UEFA told that the Blues cant stop Atletico keeper playing. Eto'o, Matic, Saleh and Ivanovic are all out for different reasons, Simeone will miss only Turan. Torres could play against his old team.

 

The way to Lisbon

 

Young and old, modest and immodest, all will want to reach the final to be played at “Estadio da Luz” on May 24 in Lisbon. The story of the season shows a continous development of the team coached by “El Cholo” who has a virtual 10 points advantage on Chelsea (Atletico 85 points in Spain, Chelsea 75 in England). The Quarter Finals have shown how difficult it is to eliminate the Blues: PSG won 3-1 in Paris and they Chelsea qualified anyway. Simeone knows that if Atletico want to reach the final they must win tonight and try not to concede goals. The statistics I wrote at the bottom of my preview show the clear numeric differences between the two probable line-ups tonight. I bet on Atletico with Asian Handicap -1. Correct score: 2-0 Diego Costa, Villa

 

Possible line-ups

 

Atletico Madrid: 13 Courtois (9/0+33/0); 20 Juanfran (9/0+32/0), 23 Miranda (10/2+28/2), 2 Godin (7/1+31/3), 3 Filipe Luis (7/1+28/0); 8 Raul Garcia (9/4+30/9), 14 Gabi (10/0+32/3), 4 M. Suarez (3/0+17/0), 6 Koke (10/1+32/5); 19 Diego Costa (6/7+32/27), 9 Villa (5/0+32/13). Trainer: Simeone

 

Chelsea: 1 Cech (9/0+34/0); 28 Azpilicueta (8/0+27/0), 26 Terry (9/0+33/3), 24 Cahill (8/1+28/1), 3 Cole (3/0+14/0); 4 David Luiz (6/0+18/0), 7 Ramires (8/2+30/1); 22 Willian (9/0+23/3), 11 Oscar (10/1+32/8), 17 Hazard (8/2+33/14); 14 Schürrle (8/1+27/7). Trainer: Mourinho

 

Not available: Turan 7/3+26/3 (Atletico Madrid), Ivanovic 10/0+33/3, Eto'o 8/3+21/9, Matic 6+1*+14/0, Salah 10/5**+7/2 (Chelsea)

 

Doubt: Cech, Hazard (Chelsea)

 

Total Champions League appearances/goals line-up Atlético Madrid: 85/16 (average: 5.31 app. per goal)

 

Total Champions League appearances/goals line-up Chelsea: 86/7 (average: 12.28 app. per goal)

 

Total Primera División appearances/goals line-up Atlético Madrid: 327/62 (average: 5.27 app. per goal)

 

Total Premier League appearances/goals line-up Chelsea: 299/37 (average: 8.08 app. per goal)

 

*CL appearances/goals with Benfica

 

**CL appearances/goals with Basel

 

Bet: Atletico Madrid AH-1, odds: 2.78 Pinnacle Sports, stake: 6/10

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Atletico AH-1 Pinnacle 2.78 6 0-0 LOST (-6 units)
0 0
Comments (27)
Johnaz
With Peter Cech, John Terry, Cahill, much goals would not be scored against Chelsea. Also both team will be very careful as this is 1st leg. Also, this match is between two great defensive team therefore, their will be no much goals here. But i am 95% sure of Atletico's. victory. Welldone Jerry. Good analysis...
04/22/2014 - 13:41
JerryDrake
'The best defense is the attack'. :) It should be a defensive game but Atletico start at home. Until now they started away (Milan - Atletico, Barcelona - Atletico) and had to defend their advantage. This time they must create this advantage at home. Many people think
that a 0-0 would be satisfying for Simeone, it's not true. 1-0, 2-0 or they will be eliminated in London. Simeone tried to say that it will be a defensive game and intense. it means that he will try to be offensive.
04/22/2014 - 14:04
hoord
very unpleasant tip to read..
try to write something in your own opinion, not some copy/paste from a website. Im used to your good writing but this is definitly not one of them...
04/22/2014 - 15:04
JerryDrake
Hoord, I spent one hour writing this on my own + calculated appearances and goals (after two hours of reading). What are you talking about? I never copy-attach, when then I summarize the most important infos I searched for hours in different languages. There must always be a commemt like yours.
04/22/2014 - 15:20
lr10
JerryDrake you are the best tipster for me, go go and go , tell me how about apoel vs limasol cyprus liga can win apoel because its a game for champions..im waiting for your coment for this derby match, you are fantastic with your tips .
04/22/2014 - 15:25
JerryDrake
Sources: Gazzetta dello Sport dated 22/01, Soccerway, UEFA, Mirror.co.uk, Marca.com, Mundodeportivo.com, AS.com, BBC Sports UK, Wikipedia (for the title 'My Name is Nobody' to check if it was in English same translated as in Italian, movie with Terence Hill). So, now I have a question to all of you: I wrote 120 original previews, long and full of content. I am leading the tipsters table. Other tipsters write 3 lines and write nothing (ann all positive thumbs). What shall I do more? Win and send you money to online wallets? Next stupid comment I dont answer.
04/22/2014 - 15:37
JustWin
Jerry congrats! I'm following you the last 2 weeks with full success. Thanks a lot for your great info, keep it up!
04/22/2014 - 15:40
JerryDrake
Apoel Limassol = I will have a look at it.
04/22/2014 - 15:44
Zvonko
Jerry, thank you.
04/22/2014 - 16:32
JerryDrake
TY Ir10 and JustWin, very kind. Apoel should win with so many Brazilians. But I dont know these teams deeply, just had a look at statistics.
04/22/2014 - 16:42
expert
Hi Jerry.
This tip AH -1 is for the brave ones. Its hard to see Morinho's team loosing 2-0 or 3-1 but its possible and I would go with low stake.
Having said that, you are doing a very good job by spending time searching before writing your tips. Don't get involved in unnecessary arguments with others readers.
They are entitled to their opinions as long as there is nothing personal.
I like your style but sometimes I do think that there too much stories before the most important facts, but that is when I don't have time and I am looking for info very quickly. That's just my opinion but
04/22/2014 - 17:13
JerryDrake
@ Expert: for those who have no time just jump to the last section before the line-ups. Sometimes I search and write and I take my decision only after having the deepest general idea. That's why I write so much, because I need to know as much as possible.
04/22/2014 - 17:25
John
Will follow you on this one JerryDrake. Like a lot your detailed info :) Good luck!
04/22/2014 - 17:28
Zvonko
Only one thing I noticed about myself sometimes. I have this general idea, like you said, and then the whole reasearch is to find reasons "I am right". But inbetween the reserach, with enough critical thinking, betting option can easly change.
04/22/2014 - 17:34
JerryDrake
Ok John. Lets see what happens tonight.
04/22/2014 - 17:39
Mr.W
Take it easy Jerry, good luck on this one ;)
04/22/2014 - 17:57
Albet Tipstein
IR10 I've seen your question about Apoel Nicosia VS AEL Limassol.
The two teams are the best in the league in terms of quality and are the two favorites for the champion's title in Cyprus. APOEL Nicosia has the best attack of the league(62 goals for in total of 30 games) and AEL Limassol the best defense(17 goals against in total of 30 games);
The set of odds is not fair; they're about as follows :1.90 for APOEL to win, 3.30 for a draw, 3.25 for AEL to win.
I believe it is worth to bet for a double chance for the away team(Ael Limassol) just because the set of odds is benefiting the aw
04/22/2014 - 18:15
Johnaz
@ Albet like you said, it is better to bet double chance for the away team. Its a good option. I myself have made a bet on AEL straight win yesterday after checking stats. But you can as well look at other markets like both team to score @ 1.6 (bet365) and also both team to score and over 2.5 goals @ about 2.7. This is definitely a good option to bet on as both team must try to score to gain point. Goodluck.
04/22/2014 - 19:11
nik
Your tips are great Jerry. Keep your good work up n ignore those who are only here to criticise.
04/22/2014 - 19:18
Frei
you obviously dont know what are you talking about. absolutely under 1.5 goals, small stake for correct score 0-0 mourinho dont allow athletico to score a goa. athletico is unexperienced team, every match they are playing on 1-0 or 2-0 and their opponents are teams like elche or osasuna - no resistance, they are weak in offence, playing overtactic startegy. score goal against weak opponent and slow down to hold 1-0. This is not gonna happen today.
04/22/2014 - 19:45
JerryDrake
TY Nik.
04/22/2014 - 19:53
JerryDrake
The pre-match comments here remind me of 'Atletico - Barcelona'.

http://www.betshoot.com/89601-Atletico-Madrid-vs-Barcelona-betting-tips

Before one game everyone knows what will happen, isnt it? Truth is that nobody knows what will happen, everyone tries to give his own lecture of a game. Atletico can win 1-0,2-0,3-0,4-0, there can be a draw 0-0,1-1,2-2,3-3 or Chelsea can win 1-0, 2-0,3-0, 3-1. Who knows? After this match live goes on.
04/22/2014 - 20:18
francis
What can you say about ranger match with ayr united @jerry drake
04/22/2014 - 22:02
francis
What is your prediction for ranger vs ayr unitd.@jerry drake
04/22/2014 - 22:04
Zreeati
Starting Line-ups:
Atlético Madrid:
13 T. Courtois
23 Miranda
20 Juanfran
3 Filipe Luis
2 D. Godín
26 Diego
14 Gabi
4 Mario Suárez
8 Raúl García
6 Koke
19 Diego Costa


Chelsea:
1 P. Čech
3 A. Cole
26 J. Terry
24 G. Cahill
4 David Luiz
28 Azpilicueta
8 F. Lampard
12 J. Obi Mikel
22 Willian
7 Ramires
9 Fernando Torres
04/22/2014 - 22:58
JerryDrake
Sorry Francis I read it now.
04/22/2014 - 23:55
Mihnea
wow chelsea the most disgusting team ever..if I were Murinho I would be ashamed to send my team to play for 0-0 ...lamest and cheapest team ever chelsea..absolutely pathetic..
04/23/2014 - 01:54
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