Gabashvili vs Simon by Tennisguy
This is a first round match from the Monte Carlo(Monaco) ATP tournament (clay) between Teimuraz Gabashvili from Russia and Gilles Simon from France.
Gabashvili is ranked 58 and Simon 28. They have met 5 times with Simon winning all the matches. From all those meeting 2 of them where on clay and both of them had 6-4 in the first set(for Simon).
It's true that Simon is far from being at his best but he did have some good preparation last week when he played at Casablanca. He started of very slow in that tournament but played a decent match against Delbonis and eventually lost to him. His service was looking better in that match at least so I think he is going to do ok in this first round match in that department.
Gabashvili had to pass the qualif. rounds to get to the main draw and he did it by winning against Stakhovsky and Volandri. He actually showed he is in a good form and I wouldn't bee surprised if he would actually win this match. Even so I am going for the over 9.5 in the first set because he made most of his services in his two matches here and I think he can hold on to his service at least for 4 consecutive games.
Simon has had some good preparation last week but he was still struggling with his return so I really don't expect him to manage any breaks in the beginning of the match. He will probably put a lot of focus on his service and try to maintain it.
I really believe the score will go easy to a 4-4, and I don't see any of these players forcing an early break.
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|Over 9.5 games in the first set||Unibet||1.92||8||4-6 WON (+7.36 units)|