Udinese vs Juventus by JerryDrake

Udinese
VS
Juventus
UDINESE - JUVENTUS

 

Home, sweet home

 

Before goalkeeper Scuffet made his debut with Udinese at the age of 17 on Feb. 1st (Bologna - Udinese 0-2), Udinese used to concede too many goals at home. With Simone Scuffet Udinese played 5 Serie A games at „Stadio Friuli“, winning 4, drawing 1 and conceding only 1 goal against Atalanta. Scuffet was born in Udine. I start thinking he must have been born at the pitch of the stadium. For sure, „Stadio Friuli“ has become or has always been his home and there the doors are now difficult to unlock.

 

Buffon, Zoff, Scuffet and the World Cup

 

There are just too many similarities between Scuffet and two of the greatest Italian goalkeepers in football history. Buffon made his debut with 17 too (Parma - Milan 0-0, season 1995-96) and in a short time he became the best. Dino Zoff started his great carreer with Udinese as well. Scuffet lives 25 kilometers away from the hometown of the 1982 World Champion and like Buffon and Zoff he could soon be playing for Juventus. Scuffet can even achieve something that Zoff and Buffon have not achieved: to play the World Cup at the age of 17. Prandelli could invite him in Brazil as third (or second) goalkeeper. Buffon declared that Scuffet deserves to be in the Azzurri squad. He could not find better sponsors.

 

Bianconeri vs. Bianconeri

 

For now the model of Scuffet remains Samir Handanovic. It was Handanovic to obtain the last two home victories against Juventus in Udinese history. The two Bianconeri teams have met 84 times where Udinese won 11 and Juventus 54. If we count only the matchs played in Udine we can only register a Juventus supremacy: 5 wins for Udinese, 14 draws and 23 wins for Juventus.

 

Udinese coach Guidolin won only once against Antonio Conte out of 8 meetings while Conte has never lost to Udinese (5-2-0). To make these statistics even more terrific for Udinese is the balance of Conte in all Serie A games played in April: 11 wins, no draws, no defeats. Not enough? Juventus scored almost double as Udinese (69 goals Juventus, 35 Udinese) and conceded the half of the goals (22-44).

 

Portuguese lessons

 

While Scuffet can already start learning Portuguese for his Brazilian adventure, Juventus players and coach Conte are learning Portuguese for the Europa League semifinal with Benfica. After the Serie A games with Udinese on Monday and with Bologna on Saturday, Juventus will travel to Lisbon. Conte will want his team to keep a good advantage on Roma (as they will meet in the 37th round in Rome) and, at the same time, give some players a round of relax. Tevez, Bonucci and Vidal could sit on the bench tomorrow.

 

Who plays?

 

Udinese will miss only suspended player Badu and injured midfield player Lazzari. Another midfield player, Pinzi, was doubt until today but he should now be available. Defender Domizzi was also doubt but he is available too. Former Napoli and Granada player Yebda should take the place of Badu while in the attack Di Natale will make his return after a short injury.

 

Juventus miss Barzagli, well substituted by Caceres until now. Llorente should be in the starting line-up together with Sebastian Giovinco at the place of Tevez. Giovinco played well recently and soon we could see him scoring again. Last time Udinese and Juventus met in Udine Giovinco scored twice.

 

My bet

 

The best way to select a bet sometimes is to start excluding the outcome you dont expect to succeed. I exclude Udinese to win and I exclude also the draw. Juventus under Conte is like a Prussian soldier under Bismark, or an Austrian under Radetzsky if you prefer: you must do what he says. And he wants to keep Roma distant, even though he will decide to moves some soldiers from the pitch to the bench and back. For this bet I dont suggest an AH-1 or EH-1 as I think that Juventus could win only by one. All the tickets belonging to Udinese have been sold and the stadi

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Juve by 1 (by 2+ No Bet) Unibet 2.22 10 0-2 PUSH (Stake return)
0 0
Comments (11)
Mihnea
So what exactly is the bet in Asian handicap cause I can't find it ?
04/14/2014 - 14:05
Beyzo
what's the mean "Juve by 1 (by 2+ No Bet)" ?
04/14/2014 - 14:40
JerryDrake
The meaning is to bet on Juventus to win by 1 (European Handicap -1: X), covering it by betting a little stake on Juventus to win by 2 (European Handicap -1: 2) as Juventus can win by 1 (probably in my opinion) but you can never know and they can win by more than 1 (it can happen).

I take the Bet365 example, easier because of the odds, they have:
EUROPEAN HANDICAP 1-0, 1: 2.40, X: 3.40, 2: 2.50

Lets say our stake is 10 EUR. I calculate how much EUR I must bet on "2" (10/2.50=4) in order to cover this bet and the remaining money on "X" (10-4=6).

Then I will bet on "X" 6 EUR and
04/14/2014 - 14:54
JerryDrake
Tonight Udinese will play with their new 2014/15 jersey.
04/14/2014 - 15:38
Blabla
Basiclly, you are saying that Juve will win?
What do you think about under 2,5? Is Udinese capable of scoring a goal? I think that they will not conceed 3 goals, but i'm not sure that Juventus will keep a clean sheet. Di Natale is still very dangerous in my opinion.
04/14/2014 - 15:41
puupuupiiipiii
Does anyone actually use Unibet?

The new kits could break this game wide open. Are you sure Jerry?

04/14/2014 - 16:14
JerryDrake
Puupi, I have not understood your question. Scuffet is good, I wrote it after his first game, read preview 'Udinese - Fiorentina' and 'Udinese - Atalanta'. Juve want to sign him and couple of other Udinese players and have good relations with Udinese. This is also a good reason why I think Juve will not score.many. Then as it is Juve it can also become a 1-3, 1-4 but I take decisions on what I think and I can not influence what it will be the real outcome. Not yet! )
04/14/2014 - 17:42
Blabla
Thanks, JerryDrake!
04/14/2014 - 18:27
JerryDrake
@ blabla: yes, Udinese can score but the point is this: Juve will not play for the show (4-2, 4-3, 3-2), they will play only for the 3 points ((1-0,2-0,2-1). Although it can happen to see many goals I base my bet on how it usually works with Conte: defend, wait, score, defend. These three points are very important as Roma have not given up (-5 points now).
04/14/2014 - 18:30
Blabla
Okey, thanks for the answer! I think i'll stick to Juventus to win. Let's say it will end 1-2.
04/14/2014 - 21:16
JerryDrake
0-2 blabla you would have won anyway but... at minute 92 when Udinese hit the post you would have had a hearth-attack :)
04/15/2014 - 01:38
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