Toulouse vs Brive-Correze by Serialtips
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Books proposed an handicap around 20 points for this match, I think that it's a little high.
Toulouse passed this handicap four times this season, but the interesting thing is that great All Black fly-half Luke McAllister was here during 3 of those 4 matchs. Toulouse has definitely 2 faces, one with McAllister and one without him. When he is here, Toulouse plays well because he launch attacks perfectly, when he isn't here, Toulouse is playing pragmatic rugby and then it's not efficient to put big margin.
Tonight, McAllister isn't here because he is injured...
Moreover, couple of other key players are alos injured such as Picamoles, Nyanga, or Census Johnston, so this isn't the best team possible for Toulouse.
On the opposite side, Brive lost only twice on top 14 by at least 20 points : it was in Toulon on the beginning of season where Brive's staff named a team B and it was recently in Castres where they simply played an horrible match because there was no stake for them.
Until the end of season, matchs of Brive were supposed to be without stake, just like their match in Castres BUT there is a big news during this week which changes this, indeed the new European Cup has been named with new rules, and among these new rules, one important for french teams, the one who will finish at 7th place of the top 14 will have the chance to play qualification match against the english team who will finish at the 7th of the Premiership.
It changes everything because now Brive has something to play until the end of the season, indeed they have just 4 points less than the 7th, so this is the new goal for Brive.
So, I don't think that the team will show the "holidays" face than in Castres, and knowing that the team A never lost by at least 20 points this season except this match in Castres, I think that they can do it tonight.
So, I think that Brive will not lose by more than 19 points.
|Brive +19,5||Marathonbet||1.90||8||16-9 WON (+7.2 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.