Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Cali by JerryDrake



Going back to Cali


You remember the song of LL Cool J? With this song I give you the statistics of Deportivo Cali in the Libertadores road games: 10 games since 2004 with 1 win and 9 defeats. They won with Colo Colo 3-2 and since then only defeats, included a match finished with penalties with Cruzeiro (and Cali qualified): Boca - Cali 3-0, Bolivar - Cali 1-0, Cruzeiro - Cali 2-1, River Plate - Cali 1-0, Tigres - Cali 5-4, Universidad Catolica - Cali 2-1, Corinthians - Cali 3-0, O'Higgins - Cali 1-0, Lanus - Cali 2-0.


Colombian league results


In the Primera A Deportivo Cali are second starting from the bottom of the table: 13 points in 15 games and they are out of everything. For me it's important a sentence written in a Colombian newspaper stating that „out of the cuadrangolares, Cali will try to obtain a qualification but the level of the players give more doubts rather than certainties“.


Asunción is waiting


With a average attendance of 19.200 spectators at Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Cerro Porteno are the team with the highest number of fans in their home games. Tonight it will not be different as the fans of Cerro want to help their team achieve the next round. 14.000 tickets have already been sold.


Libertadores Group 3


Lanus, Cerro and Cali lead the group with 7 points but it is the Argentinian team to have a goal difference advantage (+1) on the others followed by Cerro (+0) and Cali (-1). O'Higgins have 6 points and they can still qualify when they meet Lanus. The winning teams qualify. If they both draw it will be Lanus and Cerro to go to next round. If Lanus or O'Higgins win while Cerro draw, it will be again O'Higgins (or Lanus) to qualify together with Cerro. Lets try to find some certainties: Deportivo Cali can qualify only with a win and they must attack and take risks.


My bet


I dont think that Deportivo Cali can transform suddenly themselves from a weak team to a strong one, above all in a decisive Libertadores road game. I also dont think that Cerro will want to risk by looking for a scoreless draw, too dangerous. Cerro defeated Lanus and O'Higgins in their home ground. 42 y.o. Mondragon (remember him?) will try to stop Cerro but it will not be easy to stop Daniel Guiza, former striker of Getafe, Mallorca and Fenerbahce. I'm going back to Cali, Cali, Cali, I'm going back to Cali...hmmm.


Probable line-ups


Cerro Porteno: Fernandez, Bonet, Cardozo, Ortiz, Alonso, Corujo, Oviedo, dos Santos, O. Romero, A. Romero, Guiza.


Deportivo Cali: Mondragon, Candelo, Payares, Torijano, Marin, Perez, Higuita, Camacho, Marrugo, Ramirez, Rivas.


Trainer: Dario Ubríaco


Bet: Cerro Porteno, odds: 1.80 William Hill, stake: 10/10

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Cerro P. William Hill 1.80 10 3-2 WON (+8 units)
0 0
Comments (2)
Great write up once again, but not my fav LL Cool J song...
04/09/2014 - 01:18
TY Paul, tell your songs. Other thoughts on the other games? Lanus will miss the goalkeeper and the main defender. O'Higgins celebrate their birthday. Interesting games to follow live.
04/09/2014 - 01:40
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