Simon vs Kuznetsov by Tennisguy
This is a match from the qualifying rounds of the Casablanca ATP tournament between Gilles Simon from France and Andrey Kuznetsov from Russia.
Simon is ranked 27 and Kuznetsov is 141. They have met once in 2010 in a grass court match that Simon managed to win 6-1, 6-7(3), 7-6(2).
The main reason why I want to take this bet is because Simon looks in really bad shape and he is completely off his game. He played 2 other qualifying matches here against some very modest(to say the least) opponents. He defeated Nikola Cacic 7-5, 2-6, 7-5 and Roberto Marcora 5-7, 7-5, 6-0. If this score doesn't say a lot than I will add that Cacic is ranked 595 and Marcora 361. He really struggled in both of these matches especially on his service where in the first match he offered his opponent 14 break point from which he saved 8, and in the second match 10 break points from which he saved 5. If his opponents would have been at least decent ones maybe those numbers wouldn't be such a problem (as clay courts usually involves a lot of break points) but that's really not the case here, because this really shows that Simon is struggling hard with his game.
Andrey Kuznetsov is a decent player who actually plays most of his matches on clay courts. He also palyed two qualif. matches here in which he defeated Flavio Cipolla 6-2, 6-2 and Philipp Oswald 6-4, 6-4. In the first match he offered Cipolla 3 breaks points from which he saved 1, and in the second he offered Oswald 2 brake points from which he saved 1. That means his service is in good shape and he can rely on it for the match against Simon.
Normally if Simon looked even remotely close to what he was playing 7-8 months ago, this bet would have never happened. However this is not the case here as he only looks like a shadow of his former self in this tournament. In my opinion Simon needs more time to get to the level he once was, but for now I Andrey Kuznetsov migh be to much for him to handle.
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|Kuznetsov to win||Bet365||2.75||8||2-0 LOST (-8 units)|