Basel vs Valencia by Goleador
FC Basel - Valencia CF
Today the first games of the round of eight in Europa League will be played. After defeating FC Salzburg Basel advanced to this round a bit luckily, but after riots by the Basel fans in Salzburg there are no fans allowed.
Basel is undefeated for a long time in domestic league and cup. Their last loss was in Champions League vs Schalke 04. But the way how Basel reached this game vs Valencia was controversial. In the first game vs Salzburg Basel was in an inferior position and played defensivly orientated in the home game and became only very less chances to a goal. In the second leg Basel won with 1-2 away. Here also Salzburg dominated, especially until the break, which referee Gräfe had to take after disturbances by Basel fans. After this break Salzburg seemed as the better team, but the accuracy was worse and Basel scored two goals after set pieces. After the riots there are no fans allowed for this game so only around 700 people will be in the stadium (teams, families of the players, journalists, Uefa and club officials,...). This is a completly new situation for both team, but the home team always is hit more by this punishment. And there is another huge problem for Basel, as there are many injuries: Marco Streller (ST/21/10/top scorer), Giovanni Sio (ST/15/6/suspended), Arlind Ajeti (ST/0/0), Ivan Ivanov (DEF/11/0), Behrang Safari (DEF/14/0) and Kay Voser (DEF/23/1). Calla (MID/7/1) is still not available for EL matches and Suchy (DEF/8/1) is suspended after a red card. Due to such a list of missing players coach Murat Yakin will have to not many opportunities for his line-up, especially in his attacking line and he states: "There will be an unusual line-up".
Valencia shows two faces in the last time. In domestic league they are only at eight spot, 10 points behind the Europa League spots. So it would be really difficult to compensate this in the last seven games in Primera division. Because of this the only way to international competition next year leads over the Europa League win. And this seems possible. With 7-2-1 in general EL and 5-0-0 in their EL away games, defeating teams like Ludogorets Razgrad, Swansea or Dinamo Kiew the performance can´t be compared with their domestic league games. The concentration definitly is set on this game, so the last loss vs Getafe should not be overrated in my opinion. Valencia also has some missing players with GK Diego Alves (24/0), Ricardo Costa (DEF/17/3) and Victor Ruiz (DEF/11/1) (injured), Javi Fuego (MID/22/2) is suspended.
For me Basel advanced with the luck on their side and maybe the more international experience. This time a team with much expercience and a perfect away statistic in Europa league is coming to St. Jakobs-Park. Their are many injuries on Basel side, which forces them to play more defensivly than in the other games, because Embolo (just 17 years old) is the only fit striker today. Valencias injured players can be replaced much better and their will to advance to semi finals should bring them a win.
MY PICK: VALENCIA WIN AND UNDER 3,5 GOALS, Odd: 2.90 (Bookie: bwin)
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|Valencia Win and Under 3,5 Goals||Bet365||2.90||6||3-0 LOST (-6 units)|