Universidad de Chile vs Cruzeiro by JerryDrake



Cruzeiro win or win


In the Group 5 of the Copa Libertadores Defensor are leading the table with 10 points (goal difference: +6), followed by Universidad de Chile with 9 (-1), Cruzeiro 4 (+1) and Real Garcilaso 3 (-6). The Uruguayan team will have to play one more game at home with the team from Chile. Cruzeiro play in Chile and then at home with Real Garcilaso. Only the two top teams will advance to next round and, in event of a points tie, it will be the goal difference to be applied.


For Cruzeiro is a must-win-match: if they lose or draw they are out. If they win they are almost qualified as they will have a easier game in the last match under the condition that Defensor will not allow Universidad to win by many goals, and here they can also risk the elimination. Then, as already written, it will be the goal difference to decide the qualification.


Motivations and next fixtures


Although the Libertadores Cup should get the main interest by the two trainers and clubs, we have to notice that Universidad de Chile will play the derby with Colo Colo on Sunday. In the same day Cruzeiro will play the first leg final of the Mineirao against Atletico Mineiro. In the regular season of the Mineirao Cruzeiro have obtained the first place without problems (9 wins, 2 draws and no defeats, 24/4) while they defeated Boa in the semifinals (1-0 A and 2-1 H).


La U without Diaz


In the two possible line-ups the most important player missing will be Isaac Alejandro Diáz, 29 appearances and 10 goals in the Primera División in Chile. Rubio (29/17) will have Mora as colleague in the attack. Cruzeiro will be without Borges but can count on the former Roma and Malaga striker Júlio Baptista and former Sao Paulo and Internacional striker Dagoberto.


First leg in Belo Horizonte


If Cruzeiro will fail to qualify it will be because of the away results as at home they did their job by defeating 5-1 La U at home and drawing 2-2 with Defensor in a match they were leading by two. In the first match played in Belo Horizonte it was Ricardo Goulart to decide the result with a hat-trick together with Dagoberto and Willian who both scored one goal each.


Missing information


I personally have not had the chance yet to watch Cruzeiro playing this year and I dont know how different they are compared to the team who won the Serie A title in Brazil in December, any comments from Brazil are welcome. Still, I am confident that, if they will be motivated to win, Cruzeiro can defeat La U like they did in 2009. Moreover, if Cruzeiro win La U can still hope for the next match in Uruguay.


Probable line-ups


Universidad de Chile: Herrera; González, Caruzzo, Rojas, Cereceda; Martinez, Rojas, Fernández, Lorenzetti; Mora, Rubio. Trainer: Romero


Cruzeiro: Fábio; Ceará, Dedé, Bruno Rodrigo, Samudio; Henrique, Lucas Silva, Éverton Ribeiro, Ricardo Goulart, Dagoberto; Júlio Baptista. Trainer: Marcelo Oliveira


Referee: Germán Raul Delfino (Argentina)


Not available: Diaz (Universidad de Chlie), Borges, Egidio (Cruzeiro)


Bet: Cruzeiro, odds: 2.72 Pinnacle Sports, stake: 8/10

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Cruzeiro Pinnacle 2.72 8 0-2 WON (+13.76 units)
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