Genoa vs Sampdoria by JerryDrake

When a team wins the first derby, everyone expects the other team to take its revenge in the second leg. I doubt it for this derby at Marassi. Genoa won 6 out of their last 9 derbies: in the season 2008-2009 they won in December 2008 1-0 and they repeated this success in May 2009 by defeating Samp 3-1. In the season 2009-2010 a Genoa win was followed by Sampdoria's revenge. In 2011 again, Genoa won both: 1-0 and 2-1. In the season 2011-2012 Sampdoria won the first 3-1 and they drew the second 1-1.


Now, Genoa have defeated Sampdoria 3-0 in September. It was another Sampdoria (still trained by Delio Rossi) but it was also another Genoa as well, without Burdisso, Marchese, Konaté and Bertolacci. And above all, without coach Gasperini. I am impressed also by Perin's performances. The young goalkeeper is improving day by day and I would pay an entrace ticket just to see him playing.


With Gasperini Genoa are still undefeated at home: Genoa - Chievo 2-1 (Oct. 2013), Genoa - Parma 1-0 (Oct. 2013), Genoa - Verona 2-0 (Nov. 2013), Genoa - Torino 1-1 (Nov. 2013), Genoa - Atalanta 1-1 (Dec. 2013), Genoa - Sassuolo 2-0 (Jan. 2013), Genoa - Inter 1-0 (Jan. 19, 2013).


It is still not sure that this “derby della Lanterna” will be played at the scheduled time and day, the match might be postponed to Monday.


In my old previews I have always written positive opinions about Mihajlovic's work and above all about Gabbiadini. Even by keeping these opinions I can not avoid noticing that Genoa have become much stronger in these last months and when it comes to a derby, organized in this case by Genoa as Genoa will be the “home” team, their fans know perfectly how to support their players.


I will not miss the match on TV and I suggest you to do the same.


Prediction: Genoa to win, correct score: 3-1


Probable line-ups


Genoa: Perin, Antonini, De Maio, Burdisso, Marchese, Konaté, Bertolacci, Matuzalem, De Ceglie, Antonelli, Gilardino. Reserves: Bizzarri, Donnarumma, Portanova, Motta, Sturaro, Vrsaljko, Cofie, Cabral, Feftazidis, Centurion, Stoian, Calaiò. Trainer: Gasperini


Sampdoria: Da Costa, De Silvestri, Mustafi, Gastaldello, Regini, Palombo, Obiang, Gabbiadini, Krsticic, Soriano, Eder. Reserves: Fiorillo, Falcone, Rodriguez, Salamon, Fornasier, Costa, Wszolek, Renan, Berardi, Sansone, Bjarnason, Maxi Lopez. Trainer: Mihajlovic


Out: Santana, Kucka, Gamberini (Genoa), Costa (Sampdoria)




Genoa, odds: 2.60 Unibet, stake: 5/10


Correct score: 3-1, odds: 24.00 Unibet, stake: 1/10

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Genoa Unibet 2.60 5 0-1 LOST (-5 units)
0 0
Comments (15)
Great derby! I favour Genoa, I think over 2.5 is good option, but I'm also considering a red card in the match, what do you think?
01/31/2014 - 11:59
We must first see who will be the referee.
01/31/2014 - 12:34
The derby will has been postponed to Monday Night, 20:45. The teams will know the results of the other games, I dont know yet how can they be influenced. I keep Genoa for the moment. H2H coaches: Gasperini 1 win, Mihajolic 1 win, 2 draws overall.
01/31/2014 - 14:11
The referee will be Paolo Valeri. Genoa: 2-1-4, Sampdoria: 2-6-2. He used to give many red cards in 2012 but not anymore.
01/31/2014 - 18:51
Thank you very much JerryDrake. What do you think about Rennes vs Lyon. (France ligue 1) because i am going for over 2.5 goals. I just want to know your opinion. Thanks.
02/01/2014 - 23:36
Hallo Santosdan, I think it's a good option as Lyon are in form and keep scoring. OK, most of last H2H were "under" but: Lyon must take risks and continue their run. Over it's OK.
02/02/2014 - 01:00
Hi jerrydrake, what do you think genoa to score 2 to goals.
02/03/2014 - 02:14
over 2.5, I'm almost sure! Derby de la Laterna can't be boring, especially it's first derby for a long time, when teams don't fight for relelegation, it should be a very efficient match
02/03/2014 - 10:01
Yesterday Catania made a confuse, also the penalty was wrong
02/03/2014 - 10:02
NO-San Antonio 1
try it, guests without 3 key players, lost 4 of last 6
NO are 5:0 against the spread following one day rest, I took +5, but you are risky so can take clear victory for hosts
02/03/2014 - 10:04
With Bergonzi as referee, every game becomes a Hollywood movie!
02/03/2014 - 13:38
Jerrydrake, what do you think about the dropping odds of Sampdoria?
02/03/2014 - 15:10

GG can this game
02/03/2014 - 15:12
Maybe dropping because Maxi Lopez is expected to play.
02/03/2014 - 16:27
Another great prediction. You will end up in some section of lay tipsters :D
02/03/2014 - 23:49
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