Cagliari vs Fiorentina by JerryDrake

Cagliari
VS
Fiorentina
The Viola continue their race with Napoli as I predicted in my preview “Torino - Fiorentina” three weeks ago: now the Viola have 41 points, three less than Napoli as both teams have been stopped at home in the last round: Napoli - Chievo 1-1 and Fiorentina - Genoa 3-3. Now both teams will play on Tuesday and Wednesday their Coppa Italia semifinals as Fiorentina are awaited in Udine on Tuesday and Napoli in Rome by the Giallorossi on Wednesday.

 

If it's true that Fiorentina and Napoli are in the top four of the league, it is also true that they will both have hard times in Cagliari and in Bergamo.

 

Cagliari have now lost three in a row and they won their last game on December 8, 2013 when they defeated Genoa at home, 2-1. In their meetings Fiorentina won only three times in Cagliari, the last two in 2006 and 2011. Before those victories they always had hard times in the Sardinian island. One statistics should worry Vincenzo Montella. The last two times that Cagliari have played on February 1st, they always won and scored four goals, both times against Roma. 4-2 on Feb. 1, 2012 in Cagliari and 4-2 on Feb. 1, 2013 in Rome.

 

When Cagliari won their last game (2-1 to Genoa) they were in the middle of the table with 18 points and they had 9 teams behind them. Now they are closer to relegation as they were before.

 

Lopez has lost some important players as Nainggolan signed for Roma, Agazzi will soon sign for Chievo and even Cossu, Nené and Ibarbo will not be available. Same problems for Montella: he lost Gomez, Rossi, Tomovic and Borja Valero.

 

On the other side, former Cagliari player Alessandro Matri has joined Fiorentina and already scored in Catania, Aquilani (18/4) scored a hat-trick with Genoa in order to improve his chances to play at the World Cup. In Cagliari they still count on Daniele Conti (19/4), son of Bruno Conti, World Champion in 1982. Daniele has no chance to play with the National team but his support in the midfield is very important to Cagliari above all in the home games where - although they do not have the availability of the entire stadium - they are difficult to defeat.

 

Fiorentina will surely continue their race for the Champions League but this is more probable to happen after the Coppa Italia fixtures and the return of Borja Valero. I predict a draw (1-1) and I cover it buying some units on Cagliari, a kind of "Cagliari No Bet" instead of "Draw No Bet": 5 units on the draw at odds 3.30 and 2 units on Cagliari, odds 3.60 (Marathonbet). If it will be a draw I will have this net win: 5*3.30=16.50-7=+9.5 having risked 7 total units.

 

@admin: I hope that it is allowed. If something is not OK just let me know. I just want to introduce the bet the way I will bet it.

 

Probable line-ups

 

Cagliari: Avramov, Pisano, Rossettini, Astori, Murru, Dessena, Conti, Ekdal, Cabrera, Pinilla, Sau. Reserves: Carboni, Del Fabro, Perico, Oikonomou, Eriksson, Ibraimi, Pinilla, Solinas. Trainer: Lopez.

 

Fiorentina: Neto, Roncaglia, Savic, Rodriguez, Pasqual, Mati Fernandez, Pizarro, Aquilani, Cuadrado, Matri, Vargas. Reserves: Rosati, Lupatelli, Bakic, Compper, Ambrosini, Anderson, Joaquin, Rebic, Matos, Wolski, Ilicic, Iakovenko. Trainer: Montella

 

Out: Cossu, Nené, Ibarbo, Agazzi (Cagliari), Borja Valero, G. Rossi, M. Gomez, Tomovic (Fiorentina)

 

Bet:

 

Draw, odds: 3.30 Marathonbet, stake: 5/10

 

Cagliari, odds: 3.60 Marathonbet, stake: 2/10

$200 Bonus

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
X (Cagliari No Bet) Marathonbet 1.20 1 1-0 WON (+0.2 units)
0 0
Comments (1)
JerryDrake
Referee: Mazzoleni. About him said Della Valle after Fiorentina - Roma last season: "He made a mistake which will cost us 30 Million Euros" (penalty not awarded).
01/31/2014 - 19:03
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