Sampdoria vs Bologna by JerryDrake
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
I dont like this Bologna. Management seems to be uncertain in their decisions. Guaraldi decided to fire Pioli against the will of Bologna fans and substituted him with Ballardini. Every day new names appear in the wishing list of Bologna and then nobody sign for this team: Gilardino, Donati, Marquinho, Giovinco, Padoin. He decided to sell Diamanti and let him become one of the richest Italian players by signing for Guangzhou, the Chinese team coached by Marcello Lippi. In the last minutes Bologna have not accepted their offer and Diamanti remained in Bologna.
For this game Sampdoria will miss Regini (suspended), Bologna will play without suspended Greek midfield player Kone. Sampdoria have all players available, except Regini, and will have a shorter bench as in the past as they have sold many players in these weeks: Petagna, Barillà, Gentsoglu, Castellini, Eramo, Poulsen and even Maresca.
Bologna will have it difficult in the midfield because Kone (19/4) is an important player and those I have read in the line-up are not my favorite ones. But upfront they will have Rolando Bianchi (16/3) who just scored two against Napoli. When he has been asked why he has not played that often he answered in Italian: “Pioli è juventino, io sono granata”. It means that Pioli is for Juventus (he played for Juve), and Bianchi is for Torino (he was the favorite one for the fans). This was the reason why he did not play, in his opinion. If it's true or not, it is not important for us. Truth is that Bianchi's mind is free now and when a striker scores the equalizer in the last minute against Napoli his season starts again.
Same thing for Alino Diamanti (17/4). He was booed by his own fans during the game against Lazio (0-0) and after helping Bologna with his perfect assists against Napoli (2-2) he decided to accept Lippi's offer. But negotiations have been interrupted and he will probably be at Marassi Stadium and play. Somehow also Diamanti is going to start a new season like Bianchi. I can already see him leading Bologna to an important win and conquering his fans' trust.
Sampdoria are and remain a good team. But I will bet on Bologna and on their will to avoid relegation and on Rolando Bianchi and Alino Diamanti. Now the odds for Bologna are 5.50 (Marathonbet) while the Asian Handicap is offered at 3.85 (Marathonbet again). At this point I take the Asian Handicap and have my insurance in case of draw. Last time that Bologna defeated Sampdoria at Marassi it was in 1998.
Some of you will think, “OK but Sampdoria are strong, they will win, odds are dropping”. Who cares? Yes, maybe, I can not see the future. If I have to lose money, I prefer to lose it why I made a wrong preview rather than following the trends. Because when you lose following the market, nobody will explain you why you have lost. But when you make it wrong, you can analyze your mistakes and learn for the future. Understand.
Sampdoria can win. But their win is too low priced, they deserve this low price for what they did in the last weeks but Bologna do not deserve such high prices for their psychological meaning of their last point, how they got it. They have obliged Napoli to draw and accept that they will not compete for Scudetto. They will now fly to Genoa and feel stronger.
Sampdoria will play a derby next week and maybe some players will decide, in their subconsciousness, to get ready for the derby and avoid a possible injury now. They lost 0-3 in the first leg and will w
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|Bologna AH||Marathonbet||3.85||7||1-1 PUSH (Stake return)|