Trapani vs Padova by JerryDrake

Trapani
VS
Padova
Trapani are doing well in Serie B: with 30 points they are very close to the playoffs zone and they are undefeated since 8 rounds where they have beaten Novara, Juve Stabia, Virtus Lanciano, Ternana and Crotone and drawn against Cittadella, Avellino and Brescia. To find their last defeat we have to go back to November when they lost 0-3 in Palermo, the leading team of the league.

 

There between they lost also in Coppa Italia but they played a good game at San Siro Stadium against Inter 2-3 and they also played with many reserves. Their striker Matteo Mancosu already scored 14 goals in 20 appearances. In his two previous seasons he started scoring with Vigor Lamezia (Lega Pro 2, 39/20) and then he continued with Trapani in Lega Pro 1 31/16. The team seems to be very solid and have a good home balance (4-4-2, 13/8) whereas their only home defeats happened in September and at the beginning of November. Long time ago.

 

On the other side Padova won only once in the last 9 games and their away balance is more than negative: 1-1-8, 7/16. Padova coach Bortolo Mutti wants to keep his job and he will start with 3 new players in the starting eleven (Improta, Moretti and Almici) while Kelic and Nocchi should sit on the bench. The point is that I am not sure that the team wants to continue with this coach, as I have read in some Italian newspapers.

 

I see to much difference between these two teams. Padova will miss again defender Modesto, he played in Serie A with Bologna, Genoa, Parma and Pescara in the last seasons, then Feczesin, Jelenic. Raimondi has moved to Trapani, Elia Legati to Carpi, Trevisan and Perna have not been called up while Osuji is doubt. The club is also planning to sell Cuffa (16/1). Moreover, some other players will soon have to leave the team and I doubt that they will be motivated in such a confused situation.

 

I bet on Trapani to win with the help of his best striker, Mancosu and undertake some teams in the playoffs zone. Correct score: 2-1.

 

Probable line-ups

 

Trapani: Nordi 21/-25, Garufo 20/0, Terlizzi 13/0, Pagliarulo 18/1, Rizzato 21/1, Basso 7/2, Caccetta 19/0, Ciaramitaro 13/0, Nizzetto 20/3, Gambino 12/0, Mancosu 20/14.

 

Padova: Mazzoni 10/0, Almici 3/0, Benedetti 15/0, Carini 13/0, Laczko 14/0, Osuji 16/0, Musacci 9/1, Moretti 11/0 (from Spezia B), Improta 3/0 (Chievo A), Rocchi 3/0, Pasquato 19/5.

 

Out: Iunco 12/1, Martinelli 13/0, Dolenti 0/0 (Trapani), Modesto 9/0, Feczesin 10/0, Jelenic 12/0 (Padova)

 

Doubt: Osuji 16/0 (Padova)

 

Not called up: Raimondi (Trapani), Trevisan 4/1, Perna 8/0 (Padova)

 

Bet: Trapani, 2.13 Pinnacle, stake: 7/10

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Trapani Pinnacle 2.13 7 2-1 WON (+7.91 units)
0 0
Comments (19)
Gandalf
Great job!
01/24/2014 - 11:07
zacfc
Great! Thank you for a wonderful analysis!
01/24/2014 - 12:18
JerryDrake
I was wondering why Padova still have so much trust from bookmakers. Padova players were not happy with the coach's defensivism and asked him more times to try playing more offensive, with three strikers. As he was risking an internal crisis he accepted it. So, attention, dont bet high stakes on this. I will search for more news later.
01/24/2014 - 13:02
informatico
Dont bet on Serie B, it's all rigged!!!
01/24/2014 - 13:37
JerryDrake
Out also: FW Durick 13/3, DEF Lo Bue 3/0, suspended coach Boscaglia (Trapani), MF Iori 14/0 (Padova)
01/24/2014 - 13:37
Plies
I go for Bayern munich, Kasimpasa; BTTS and Duckla Prague O2.5
01/24/2014 - 14:16
Plies
@JerryDrake, Trapani have won in the last 2 H2H, i don't think they'll win again today... Just my feeling...
01/24/2014 - 14:53
JerryDrake
@informatico: yes, I also fear it. I have ready many articles and interviews yesterday and it is surprising to me how trainers or managers of teams in good positions (example: Avellino) are already stating things like "it will be another league after one month break" or "hopefully we will avoid relegation, many teams signed many new players" when they could fight without problems for a promotion. When I see Novara's odds dropping down even without striker Rubino, I cant understand it. Serie A and Serie B should have max. 18 teams, there should be no empty place in the table, until the las
01/24/2014 - 15:16
JerryDrake
@ Plies: good luck for your combo. I will bet a combo on Serie A.
01/24/2014 - 15:22
Angelo
Jerry, I totally agree with your reply to informatico.
As for today's game, the home team should be a huge favorite against bottom feeders, Padova, and yet my book only pays +111 for a Trapani win...I smell a trap!
01/24/2014 - 17:25
JerryDrake
True Angelo!
01/24/2014 - 18:44
JerryDrake
1-0 after 2 minutes.
01/24/2014 - 21:35
JerryDrake
2-0 Mancosu after 17 minutes.
01/24/2014 - 21:50
JerryDrake
So many people interested in betting but no one writing opinions in the forum. If we use the forum we can make a lot of money above all during live games. This is also a work. If you want results you must work and do something! Betshooters, whats wrong with you?
01/24/2014 - 22:34
Angelo
2-1 Tommaso Rocchi (1st goal with Padova).
01/24/2014 - 23:17
JerryDrake
FT: 2-1. Also my "correct score" was... correct! :)
01/24/2014 - 23:26
Angelo
Nice hit Jerry! I was worried it would end in a draw...
01/24/2014 - 23:27
pitja
nice job. see you tomorrow.
01/24/2014 - 23:31
smirn0ff
Jerry, Im with you, but this evening I was outside
01/24/2014 - 23:54
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