Benfica B vs Penafiel by Marlo

Before I begin, let me agree with fellow tipster Tullamore and say most persons are keen to negatively rate tips because of whether it wins or not. Sometimes they are also voted down because odds are slighter higher than they are accustomed to. Some picks are just unlucky like St. Jonhnstone vs Hearts at the weekend. If you don't fancy it, move on, read something else, if you do fancy it and get on, don't moan if the result doesn't come up. Not fair to belittle quality time and effort of some tipsters with unnecessary 'thumbs down' as Tullamore puts it.


Nevertheless, let me get straight into the tip. Benfica B have been kind to punters who have been aware of them and if you have been backing them (mostly home matches), they would have delivered quite easily since the start of the season.


Following in the footsteps of the senior team, this outfit like (Real Madrid B and Barcelona B) are attacking outfits which create plenty of chances, more often that not these are converted and lead to over 2.5 being a staple of their home matches which stats back up.


For Benfica B, they have scored most goals in the divison, a whopping 55, 15 more than first placed Moreirense.


At home, Benfica B have scored 19 goals in their last 5, averaging just under 4 goals per game, winning on all 5 occassions with healthy average goal margin wins.


Penafiel are ranked 5th, tied on points with hosts (43 pts), but goal difference is the key as visitors have only scored 25 goals, less than half of Benfica B. However, they have only conceded 15 goals to Benfica B's 34.


With this in mind, this looks like goal scoring is here for the taking so both teams to score and over 2.5 should land here.


Penafiel have seen over 2.5 land in 3 of their last 5, howver, on the road just 2 of their last 5 have seen over 2.5 goals. However, with the style of play home team brings, Penafiel will have to score to keep in the game here.


I was very tempted to go Benfica B and over 2.5 as I see them maintaining that imperious home form and odds of nearly 2/1 for Benfica and over 2.5 are hard to ignore. However, I will opt for safer over 2.5 as I don't want to mislead amateur persons with that pick. Nevertheless, it should be considered as value is there for the taking.


Good luck if you're on. Expect a 2-1 either way or maybe 3-0 for hosts. Hopefully, the many anticipated chances are converted and we don't fall a goal short.


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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Over 2.5 goals Paddy Power 2.00 10 0-2 LOST (-10 units)
0 0
Comments (1)
I think draw 1-1 more likely outcome. Anyway home team is overrated.
01/22/2014 - 09:31
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