Connecticut vs Temple by QuidProQuo

Tonight in the college basketball (NCAAB) we have Connecticut Huskies hosting the Temple Owls. There's no much doubt which team is better in this match up, but i really don't see why line opened at -13, favoring the hosts.

 

The Huskies are 14-4 straight up while the Owls are only 5-11 but when we look at the ATS record we can see that the Huskies are not very good at covering spreads (only 7-9 ATS) while the Temple Owls are actually very good at keeping games close having 7-7 ATS record...

 

Statistically these teams are pretty close in most categories and this line is at least 3-4 points too high in my opinion. Connecticut is averaging 74.8 points per game and Temple is scoring 75.7 points per game on average. Field goal % is really close (46% and 45%), number of possessions too and i really think backing the underdog here has a lot of value...

 

Connecticut is only 2-5 ATS last 7 home games and 1-4 ATS last 5 games when favored 7-12.5 points. Temple is impressive 6-0 ATS in last six Tuesday games and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog (4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 7-12.5)...

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Temple Owls +12.5 Pinnacle 1.96 8 90-66 LOST (-8 units)
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