Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns by QuidProQuo

Denver Nuggets are hosting Phoenix Suns at Pepsi Center tonight and, according to the NBA odds, Denver is 4 points favorite while the total is set at 205.5 points.


The Suns have had five game winning streak, longest one in almost three years, before hosting the Spurs on Wednesday, but they still remain hot in my opinion. They still lead the league with 19.7 fast-break points per game. As a road dogs the Suns have 9-2 ATS record this season including outright wins over the Pelicans, Rockets, and Lakers. The Nuggets had won 10 of 13 before losing to the Thunder. In the first meeting this season, Phoenix won 114-103 at home.


As i already wrote in previous tips, Phoenix is starting strong game after game. They average 52.6 points per game in first half (solid 51.8 on the road) while Denver has one of the worst defenses in the league, especially in the first half. They give up 53.1 points per game in first half on average. Considering that Phoenix Suns went over 1st half team total line 15 of last 16 games, I think they easily put up more than 50 tonight at Denver...

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Phoenix Suns 1st half team total OVER 50.5 William Hill 1.91 8 28-20 LOST (-8 units)
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