Utah St. vs Western Ill. by QuidProQuo
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Utah State Aggies are hosting Western Illinois Leathernecks tonight and the NCAAB odds have Utah State as favorites at -13.5 points, while the total is not up yet.
We have a unfair match-up tonight with these two teams. Utah State is better team in all statistical categories and the only question tonight is, will they cover the spread or not. I expect them to cover.
Utah St. is 3-0 vs. teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 33, 19 and 11 points. They are 6-2 overall, averaging 77 points per game, while the Western Illinois score only 62 points on average. Utah is better shooting team too, shooting 48.6% from the field, 40.1% from beyond three-point line and 75.1% from free-throw line. They also hold opponents to 43.5% from the field and 27% from beyond 3pt. Western Illinois have only 56% from free-throw line (which is very bad) and 29% for 3 points, and it's pretty clear to me that they won't have big offensive night tonight...
Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. Aggies are also 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 overall games. Leathernecks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 0-5 ATS last 5 as underdogs. Leathernecks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 1-9 ATS in their last ten games. I'm laying points with Utah State Aggies tonight.
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|Utah State Aggies -13.5||Sbobet||1.95||8||68-52 WON (+7.6 units)|