Boston Celtics vs Minnesota by QuidProQuo
Minnesota played last night in Memphis (101-93 vs Grizzlies) and it looks like they have a bit of momentum going. They have won three of their last four games with the only loss coming on the road in San Antonio vs the Spurs. But still, they are not great road team having 5-8 road record and they are not a team that plays well on back to back games, having 2-5 record on second night of back to back games this season.
Boston is on a 2 day rest and the Celtics are playing 3rd out of 5 straight home games tonight. They are 6-6 at home, winning four of their last five home games. While I expect the Celtics to fight hard for a win tonight, I see more value in betting the total.
The Celtics are improving their defense, they are 5th best defensive team in the NBA allowing 95.7 points per game, and in their last ten games, the Celtics have given up only 92 points per game. Also, the under is 5-2 in Celtics last seven games playing on 2 days rest and the under is 4-1 in Timberwolves last five games playing on 0 days rest.
Kevin Martin is expected to play tonight, but he's nursing a knee injury and that is very important player for Wolves. Brandon Bass and Jared Sullinger are both big and quick enough to play solid defense on Kevin Love tonight, and Avery Bradley will surely match Ricky Rubio.
Boston is giving up a league low in three point field goals this season, and the Wolves are the 12th best three point shooting team so far this season. That means the Celtics will most likely defend well the Wolves main weapon on offense...
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|UNDER 199||Pinnacle||1.99||8||101-97 WON (+7.92 units)|