Oklahoma vs Orlando by QuidProQuo
The Thunder have been on a tear, winning five straight games, four of which have been by double figures. They also have perfect 11-0 straight-up home record averaging 108.3 points per game. When we take a look at the Magic and see they rank 24th in the NBA in defense, allowing 102 points per game (104.5 on road), it most certainly looks like 205.5 points is not problem for these two teams to put up tonight. Well, I don't think so.
Considering that this game is most likely going to be an easy win for the Thunder, Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant won't play big minutes, especially since they travel to Denver and they're playing 9th game in last 15 days tonight. That means the pace is not going to be super fast and almost certainly they won't reach 102 possessions tonight, number they average at home.
Under is 6-2 in Thunder last 8 games as a favorite of 11 or greater, and 8-3 in their last 11 as a home favorite of 11 or greater. Also, under is 4-0 in Magic last 4 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater. In last 11 Thunder home games vs. a team with a road winning % lower than 0.400 under is 8-3. When Orlando play vs. a team with a winning home record 4 out of last 5 games went under the total. In last 19 games between these two teams under is 13-6.
One more funny trend is that under is 10-0 in Thunder games since Feb 10,2013 after Kevin Durant shot better than 50% from the arc in their previous home game.
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|UNDER 205.5||Sbobet||2.04||8||101-98 WON (+8.32 units)|