The bookies have this set for a draw at 1.80 as Chile is 4`th with 25 points, Equador is third with 25 and Uruguay is fifth with 22 points. The first 4 will qualify directly. And Uruguay plays Argentina at home so they can`t count on easy 3 points for sure. The form is on the side of the hosts as they haven`t lost in the last 7 and have 4 wins in those games. Equador on the other hand has won one in the last 7 games and that was the last game against Uruguay at home 1:0. They lost 4 of the last 7 games. Of course beating them on their ground is much harder then at home. Equador played Bolivia in their last away game and only mustered 1:1 and how they played the second half they could have lost against a team they usually win. As I said Chile can take a draw her but Chile under coach Sampaoli is a changed team. They lost only 1 of their last 11 games. Among others have won against Uruguay 2:0, drew with Brazil 2:2, Venezuela 3:0, Spain 2:2 and Colombia 3:3. The Chileans were especially good in the last 2 games and should have won them both. Spain clinched a draw in the last seconds of the match while Colombia had huge luck to grab a point while trailing 0:3 after 30 minutes. With a man sent of for the Chileans and 2 penalties Falcao was able to take Colombia to the world cup. Chile opens their games very furiously and usually lead at half time but second half is the time when they loose some pace. Still it should be quite enough against Equador if they take it seriously. I have hugerespect for coach Sampaoli and if he says that they are going for a win with all means available then I believe him. He says Equador won`t know were to play for a draw or attack, they will catch them by surprise. Good enough for me.
Diaz is back in the lineup and that is another boost for the hosts, they have almost the best lineup possible. Rojas Mendoza is the only injury for Equador and they can also put the best lineup.
Home win for me.
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||2-1 WON (+12 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.