Admira vs Neustadt by Goleador

In this duel to teams meet each other, who were rated to be candidates No. 1 and 2 for relegation this season. Their performances so far also let me believe in this prediction, but here one bookie set the odds wrong and didn´t react on the changes of bwin and bet365.


Yesterday (Saturday) both teams had to take losses but there´s one team which I see performing better. And that´s the home team: Admira Wacker Mödling. More than one month ago new coach Lederer took over the place of Polster to coach Admira. Following to this change Admira gained four points in the following game, but lost the last three vs. Salzburg (1st), Ried (3rd) and WAC (9th). Now I only want the descirbe the performance of the last game because the other games were more than two weeks ago. The game vs WAC was really special to due the fact that new WAC coach Kühbauer left Admira before the start of this season and he and new Admira coach Lederer is on a personal rivalry. But to come back to the performance on the pitch. Two new players were integrated into WAC team, who were to host team yesterday and of those was Joachim Standfest. He played for Sturm and Austria Wien, to mention just two teams he played for, and now made the assist for the first goal in minute two. WAC scored the first goals by Falk. But Admira wasn´t shocked by this goal and tried to score the equalising goal and played more offensive. Before the HT break they didn´t use any of their chances, but shortly after the break Ouedraogo made the 1-1. Admira was the better team and had chances to take the lead but WAC goalkeeper Dobnik made good saves. But in minute 79' WAC scored the leading goal again after an assist from Standfest. Later Liendl made the 3-1 the win wasn´t deserved and not in this height. For me the win only was possible here because home team got a new coach and this produced extra motivation in the team. In the end WAC fighted a bit more and Admira wasn´t efficient enough.


Wr Neustadt also had a difficult game on Saturday. Before international break they won surprisingly at Grödig with 3-6. Wr Neustadt was really efficient when it was about scoring goals in this match, but also conceded three. And this is the big problem, the defense and on the other side the offense doesn´t alway score that many goals. Sturm early took the lead vs Wr Neustadt yesterday, but home team (Wr Neustadt) didn´t act like Admira and tried to score a goal and so Sturm made the second goal in minute 30'. In this game Wr Neustadt was too passive in defense and offense, the defense players always were too far away from their opponents and the team seemd half-hearted and tull in first half. In second half this didn´t change and Wr Neustadt made many individual mistakes and mistakes in positional play. The first two goals of Sturm mostly were Wr Neustadt´s fault, but 3-0 was just a perfect attack by Sturm. Before the end Wr Neustadt scored the 3-1 after a corner, but Sturm always conceded at least one goal in the last 23 games.


All in all I think if Admira doesn´t make mistakes in defense and are a bit more efficient they will win this game. Wr Neustadt just made a real bad game vs Sturm and this in a home game. The odds just too high and imo they will drop more until the game.


MY PICK: ADMIRA WIN (BOOKIE: CASHPOINT; others like bwin and bet365 dropped to 1.8x)

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Admira Win Bwin 2.10 8 0-3 LOST (-8 units)
0 0
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