Italy vs Finland by Tullamore
It was Finland that considered to be as the outsider of Group D, but noone was expecting such a passionate and solid performance by the Italian side, considering the huge absences, which seem to be replacebale in a way.
Italy brings chemistry and much energy on the court and Pianigiani is doing great job, "reading" the opponents weaknesses.
However, this game will might be harder for the Italians whom the books set as favourites.
Finland is doing great job offensively scoring 71 points per game, while they only allowing 57.5 per game.
The 71 points are not coming from one or two players' big contribution, but everyone has a role and contributes to offense. It is not only Koponen or Huff, there's Lee and Salin, while Mottola is still there to offer his service and raise the team's experience.
On the other side, there's Italy, which doesn't want to throw away the big results, by losing this game, so they will have to slow down the Finnish, as they did against Russia and Turkey.
Italy's big advantage on Thursday's game was not just the shots beyond the arc, but the points in the paint, that was an unexpected fact.
Pianigiani might lacks of Galinari and Bargnani, but his newcomers to the squad seem to be thirsty to achieve. They are well tuned on offense, a thing that had to be the inhibitor of this team, but the numbers have different opinion.
They are averaging 83 points after the first two games and taking 72.
As you can understand, we have to do with two teams that love the high tempo game. Italy has played good offense at some periods during the quarters, but is not as descent as many think. Their perimeter defense is weak and if the Finnish have the normal numbers at the threeballs, they will cause damage.
In addition, i doubt that Finland will be in position to play great defense once again and i think that Italy will try to win the game by its offense.
The line is low if you ask me and i think it will go higher till Saturday, so i am taking it now.
Pick over 149.5
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|over 149.5||Marathonbet||1.96||8||62-44 LOST (-8 units)|