Newcastle vs Benfica
Newcastle have an excellent home record in Europe this season - out of 6 matches played they have won 4 and drawn 2, conceding only 1 goal in over 540 minutes of football.
Their away record is also good, having lost only one game - and this was after they had qualified from the group stages, the game was effectively meaningless.
Benfica are a good team and Newcastle will have to play well to beat them but the calibre of player in the Geordies' squad is much higher than it was only a few seasons ago - in fact, it is much higher than it was even a few months ago. Moussa Sissoko has added a real spark to the squad which was often lacking due to Hatem Ben Arfa's serial injury problems and with the likes of Cabaye, Cisse and Tiote in the team, Newcastle can field a seriously strong starting line-up.
I feel the price is wrong and it should be lower for what is really a fairly even tie, aside from Newcastle's injury problems I don't see any real reason to pick one side over the other. With the value on offer I suggest a medium stake on the English side to qualify.
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|Newcastle to qualify||Pinnacle||3.00||5||1-1 LOST (-5 units)|