Nadal vs Federer by FairPlayBet

Nadal
VS
Federer
The best tennis player of all time, Roger Federer was not so successful in mutual meetings with Rafael Nadal (11-21). But this is mostly thanks to big dominance on clay court (14-2 in favor of Nadal) while overall record on all other surfaces is in favor of Federer (9-7). The last time these players met each other was exactly here in Indian Wells, it was semi final of last year. Federer won that match 6-3,6-4 and it was one of rare matches between these two that ended with straight sets win for any of the players. In most cases those were very close and interesting meetings with over games of course. This was especially the case when they met each other on some other surface then clay.

 

Today's match will be really special. It will be first time after many years it is not some ATP SF or Final in question. Rafa is coming after long break he had due to knee injury. Of course he is now already for a while on the court (Indian Wells is 4th tournament after comeback) but note this is first tour and only third match on hard court for Rafael Nadal. So, this fact could be little advantage for Roger Federer but IMO not crucial. Nadal has impressed last night in meeting with lately amazing Ernest Gulbis. In some moments we had chance to see the old good Rafa. Even if Nadal would not be able to repeat such performance in entire match today, I believe he will be equal opponent to Federer who will enter this match as slight favorite. We should have in minds that Federer although still great player, he is not on the level like he was at time when was world No.1. Yesterday Stanislas Wawrinka made big problems to Federer and I had impression if Federer had on the other side some other, more serious opponent and mentally stronger then Wawrinka, he would be defeated.

 

IMO chances today are 51-49 in favor of Federer while the best option for me is over 22.5 total played games.

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
Over 22.5 games William Hill 1.83 5 2-0 LOST (-5 units)
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