Toronto vs Player Special by QuidProQuo
Houston will be 6.5 point favorite tonight when they host Toronto in a game that is projected on 219.5 points. These teams average dead same pace, so game is projected on 101 possessions, which is average for both teams. Implied points are pretty close to season averages for both teams, as well.
DeRozan is first option in Toronto this season as well, with true usage of 28.7%. He had 20 or more field goal attempts in 7 of their last 8 games and he scored 24 or more in every game this season, if we discount game in Denver where he only played 25 min. Tonight he's most likely have Gordon on him, but it's not really that important since Houston don't have elite defender this year, since Beverly left the club. Aside from Harden, pretty much everyone else is around average or slightly below average in defense. DeRozan had much tougher match-ups and this pick is based on volume of his shots and playing time. He'll play 35-37 min and should have 21-24 shots. Considering he averages close to 10 free throw attempts as well, it should be more than enough for him to score 25+ points. Good luck!
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|DeRozan, DeMar OVER 25 points||Unibet||1.85||8||27 WON (+6.8 units)|