Southampton vs Burnley by Saconex
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
Southampton (10) vs Burnley (7)
Southampton are considered as big favourites in this match by the bookies, but in fact I don’t really understand why. They are placed 10th with a total record of 3-4-3 and 9-10 in goal difference. Home record are 2-2-2 after losing against Watford (8) & Man Utd (2). They are currently undefeated in 3 matches, 2-2 at home vs Newcastle (9), 1-0 win vs WBA (15) & latest the 1-1 match away vs Brighton (12). They are missing Jeremy Pied & Mario Lemina here, also Charlie Austin will probably miss this match.
Burnley have impressed so far, they are placed 7th with a total record of 4-4-2 with 9-9 in goal difference. They are coming from another win at home, in the tight 1-0 match vs Newcastle (9). In their last away match the first away loss this season came, with the 0-3 defeat vs Man City (1). But listen to this; they won away Chelsea (4), got 1 point away vs Spurs (3) & Liverpool (6) and also won away against Everton (18). I don't think these results are only lucky. They are missing Walters & Tom Heaton here.
* Southampton have a good record at home against Burnley, with 4 straight wins
I can understand that Southampton are favourites, but not as big as the bookies tells us. I predict a tight match, with Southampton having a lot of possession and they are trying to break down Burnley's good defence. Burnley have showed that they are hard to break down, and they have showed it against a lot better teams than Southampton. Matches like this should suit them perfect in my opinion. They will focus in defence and go for the counters when they come. The value we get on draw or Burnley to win is very good in my opinion, so thats my pick here.
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