FC Botosani vs Dinamo Bucharest by Rostick
FC Botosani had a good start to the season and is 5th in the standings, but recently their level of play dropped a bit on the offensive end – where they are usually very competent. Botosani scored just 1 goal in the last three rounds, but still gained 4 points from those matches, which is a good return considering they met good teams like Viitorul or league leaders CFR (holding them to a 0-0 draw away from home last weekend).
Dinamo Bucharest (7th place) has been going through a very difficult period lately, and a run of poor results saw them falling from title contention to a midtable position. The Red Dogs finally claimed a win last round after failing to do so for 5 consecutive rounds, but to be fair they weren`t very impressive in a 3-0 home victory over last placed Juventus. Dinamo met a very poor team, and still had a scare with Juventus missing a penalty at 0-0.
Team news & lineups:
Botosani will miss Fulop and Elek, while Dumitras and Ciaccheri are doubtful. Dinamo has a full squad available. There are rumours that Dinamo might change from a 4-2-3-1 to a 4-3-3, but it`s impossible to anticipate if that will be the case. Personally I doubt it, I think if Miriuta wanted to change the system he would have done it last round in an easier game which was right after the International break.
FC Botosani: Cobrea – Ungurusan, Miron, Burca, Musat – Tincu, Bordeianu – Roman, Morutan, Bus – Popa
Dinamo Bucharest: Penedo – Romera, Nedelcearu, Katsikas, Filip – Anton, Mahlangu – Hanca, Costache, Salomao – Nemec
Since Vasile Miriuta took over as Dinamo manager three rounds ago not much has changed with the team, which continues to be extremely vulnerable at the back even against the lowest level of opposition. Dinamo kept just 4 clean sheets in 14 rounds this season – three of them were against the worst two teams in the league (Juventus twice, Sepsi), and one was early in the season against Viitorul, when Viitorul rested its best players as they were playing in Europe at that time.
Even if Botosani has struggled up front lately, failing to score in the previous two rounds, they remain an offensive minded side and should be able to find the net at least once against this poor Dinamo defense. At the same time Dinamo has the attacking quality to score once or twice.
Matches in Botosani between these two teams have always been entertaining, as Botosani never parked the bus at home against Dinamo, always played aggressive football, and thus there were open spaces to exploit for both sides.
Since Botosani got promoted in 2013, they played 4 times at home against Dinamo with the following results: 1-2, 3-2, 1-1, 2-1. Earlier this season Botosani won 1-0 in Bucharest, but it was a very good game which could have easily seen 3 or 4 goals.
This season an average of 2.43 goals per game has been scored in Botosani’s matches, while for Dinamo the average stands at 2.57 goals per game. What`s more, in Botosani’s home matches there is an average of 3.29 goals / game being scored, a statistic which says a lot about how this team plays at home.
I reckon a bet on over 2,5 goals has some good value and is worthy of a medium stakes investment, but I highly recommend going with the more secure “over 2 (asian) goals” if you can. Odds are still solid, and this option gives us a safety net which could prove to be very important.
My tip is over 2 goals to be scored, this looks like a 1.50 bet to me, but we get odds around 1.70 for it. Prediction: FC Botosani – Dinamo Bucharest 2-1.
|Over 2 goals||Pinnacle||1.74||8||0-0 LOST (-8 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.