Estudiantes vs Barcelona by Demogorgon

Estudiantes
VS
Barcelona
●Barcelona is 2-2 U/O in their first 4 league games so far, their single away league match had less than 150p

 

●Estudiantes has 2 games OVER the line and 1 UNDER in their first 3

 

●Estudiantes has played 3 official games at home (including C.L.) 2 of those had less tahn 150p

 

● OVER is 3-2 in the last 5 mettings between those teams

 

ESTUDIANTES is a decent side and they have some players with great quality, but they have several issues and more importantly, new faces in their roster, which has not work well for them so far and they definitely need a lot more time to blend in. The good thing for them is that they have Alec Brown in Center position, a huge guy that will cause trouble in both ends to Barca's big guy, Tomic and i think this will be a key factor for Barcelona's offensive plays, so i am expecting the hosts to at least manage to hold their opponents low and be efficcient in defense but the fatigue will cost them offensively and since they have one of the worst record in 'points from the benc'h so far, thigns will be tough for them.

 

BARCELONA is a completely different team this season, they play great basketball so far, new coach A.Alonso managed to motivate and get Tomic into the game again, which is an extremely important thing for Barcelona and they way they play, so since he had a terrible season last year that affected the whole team. He had 11p, 5 asists and a rank of 23(top of the match) against Obradorio while he was dominant in the paint. Though in the previous match against Crvena, he had to face Lessort and Andic, both big, strong players and eventually he had issues and picked up fouls early. Estudiantes is going to do the same thing with Brown in this match and i think that Tomic will have to be extra careful as he is a key player for Barca right now.

 

 

I expect the hosts to fight hard in this match and play hard on defense, while they have big bodies to cover the paint and Barca will have to be very efficient for mid/long range shots in order to score above 80 points in this match. If we add the fatigue from Euroleague matches and the fitness of the players that are not at 100% yet, then i think this match wont have a high tempo and this line at 163p is huge, so the Under has to be the play here.

 

I also suggest picking anything above +10p AH in favor of the hosts in live betting at full stakes!!

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Pick Bookmaker Odds * Stake Result
Under 163 10bet 1.91 9 80-70 WON (+8.19 units)
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.
+4 -5
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