Chelsea vs Watford by RadoX
Tip based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
This time we're going to have a look on this match between Chelsea and Watford.
Chelsea are not having the most successful start to their season, having 13 points after 8 games already played. In fact, their performance away from home is a lot better than at home. Away from Stamford Bridge, they won 3 games out of 4 played, losing last week in Crystal Palace's home. Crystal Palace wasn't able to score any goal in their 7 matches of the Premier League, and they scored twice against a poor defense from Chelsea, taking their first 3 points of the season and against the reigning champions.
At home, Chelsea lost to Burnley and Manchester City, had a goalless draw against Arsenal, and won one match against struggling Everton. What this means? Chelsea's football from last year is not the same comparing to this year. Their defense is not the greatest at the moment, having 8 goals suffered in 8 matches.
On the other hand, Watford are surprising almost everyone except me, as I told many of you, they are going to be one of the surprises of this year's edition of Premier League. Much of that is thanks to their great and young coach, Marco Silva. Watford invested well in buying new players and they are already showing decent results, with the likes of Richarlison and Gray being among the best players of their team. After 8 games played, they are standing 4th in the table, 1 place above Chelsea. In 4 games away from home, Watford won 3 of them, against Swansea, Southampton and Bournemouth, keeping a clean sheet in 2 of them. Last time out, they scored a late goal which gave them a point in West Bromwich's home, showing a great team spirit and will.
To this match, I expect a strong Watford side who is going to be capable of causing trouble to the reigning champions, and a side who can take advantage of their not so good moment. Chelsea is in a 3 match winless streak and that may cause some anxiety among their players. Watford's players know they are playing decent football and they come to Stamford Bridge with a lot less pressure than the home side and that can be one of the keys to the match.
In terms of players, Chelsea cannot count on N'Golo Kante for this match, as well as Drinkwater and Moses, all due to injuries. Kante and Moses are at least 2 important absences for this match.
On the Watford side, they cant count on Chalobah, Kaboul, Prodl and Success also all injured. They're not that big of missing players because Watford has more good players to play with, comparing to Chelsea with key absences Kante and Moses.
I know Marco Silva loves these kinds of matches, and it is everything he dreamed to play (Premier League). I also know he will be able to make their players look and play in a confident way, to explore Chelsea's recent weaknesses. Conte is recently having some trouble making his team play well, after the home defeat to Manchester City, where I saw a weak side of Chelsea and the game could have ended even worse than 0-1 to Manchester City. They didn't create many chances comparing to City and as a Premier League fan I think they were not that sad to lose 0-1 only. After that, they lost last weak in Crystal Palace and in this last match for champions league they let a 2-0 advantage (against Roma) slip and they were even losing 2-3 for some time. The game ended 3-3 as you may know.
In this moment I see a vulnerable and maybe anxious side of Chelsea and I see a Watford side who can take advantage of that anxiety. I think it will be a close game where any of them can take the 3 points, and I don't trust this huge odds for Watford (which are getting lower).
Anyway, I will put a small stake on Watford's Asian Handicap +1.00 as it leaves room for a possible Watford win or draw, and we will receive the full stake if Watford loses by a 1 goal margin, so I see a good value in this odd.
Why a small stake? Because I want the people who eventually follow my tips to have a long term profit, and adding a high stake on this match may prove itself to be dangerous and undisciplined move.
Good luck everyone!
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|Watford +1.00||Pinnacle||2.47||4||4-2 LOST (-4 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.