Tottenham vs Dortmund by Moriarty
Tottenham have won their two away games in the PL and failed to win either of their games at Wembley. The loss to Chelsea and the draw to Burnley were really poor for different reasons, and the win on opening day over Newcastle was more down to the newly promoted opposition and the red card. However, they might just have turned a corner against Everton at Goodison. Harry Kane who strangely becomes absolutely useless for a month every August, noticed it was September and scored a cracker after spotting the keeper off his line. Eriksen was also in great touch and it was easily the most comprehensive performance Tottenham have put together so far.
Spurs will miss Deli Alli, but Son is a more than handy replacement and the fact that Spurs don't have a lot of new signings to try and integrate into the team is actually a big positive - especially considering the quality and youth in last year's team that have for the most part all been kept together.
Now to Dortmund. They're incredibly dangerous to back against, and in a way it feels downright risky considering Tottenham's obvious struggles at Wembley. However, they are travelling without a host of key players including Schurrle, Reus, and most notably a couple of first choice defenders in captain Schmelzer and centre back Bartra. The 6'5 beanpole kid who's been filling in for Schmelzer and doing a good job in the Bundesliga may well be going one on one with Tottenham's pacy wingers and fullbacks, which could see him get burnt with his inexperience and lack of pace.
I expect Tottenham to dominate most of the ball in this, but Dortmund are deadly on the counter and the wide open spaces of Wembley will make it very hard for Spurs to shut down too many fast breaks. This is a massive game for both clubs with Madrid virtually assured of one playoff berth, and I cannot see both not getting on the scoresheet. Spurs have not kept many clean sheets in their games at Wembley and I think it would be a shock if Dortmund didn't score considering Chelsea did twice when they could barely put a team together and Burnley put one in as well.
Spurs though have the slightly higher motivation as this is a 'home' game (more of a home game than it will be in Germany), and they might be getting Dortmund at a really good time with their injuries. They'll be incredibly keen to put talk of the Wembley curse to bed and a win over Dortmund would certainly do that. Draw is a threat, but it's been priced way up presumably because both teams will be going all out for the win. I can't see a Spurs clean sheet so this gives better value than the 2.20 about the home win.
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