Astana vs Ordabasy by Vilcox

Big match in Kazakhistan between Astana and Ordabasy where I see the home team clear favourite to take the 3 points from this clash. I will take this bet early as odds will drop soon.


Astana played 2nd leg in Champions League last week. After winning 3-1 at home against Legia, they lost 1-0 in Poland so they managed to qualify to the next playoff round. They are the best team in Kazakhstan by far as they have 51 points after 21 matches played. At home, they are almost unbeatable! In fact, they won 9 matches out of 10 played. The only draw came against Kairat (the 2nd best team). Also, another impressive stat is that these win came always with at least 2 goals of difference! They dominate against every single team and I see them clear favourite even if they have played on wednesday in Champions League.


Ordabasy it's not a bad team. They are ranked 3rd with 41 points and they have a 6-1-3 record when playing away from home. They are one step ahead the other teams in the league but two steps back Kairat and Astana. In fact, they lost 7 of the last 8 matches played against Astana. It's true that Ordabasy have not played in Europe last week but they are not at Astana's level. They will try to defend but they will suffer a lot against a much more better team.


The home advantage will make difference as almost always for Astana. They are an incredible team when playing in front of their fans and I'm expecting them to take the 3 points from this match. Odds will drop.

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
1 Bet365 1.57 10 1-0 WON (+5.7 units)
+39 -8
Comments (17)
It's funny that you won't mention things that go against your pick. You keep saying Astana is 2 levels above Ordabasy. Yet Ordabasy beat them 3-0 this season. How do you explain that? Ohh right, you don't.
08/07/2017 - 12:49
good analysis will go for it.
08/07/2017 - 13:00
Joey has a point. Those odds are not worth the risk. But suit yourselves.
08/07/2017 - 13:11
Joey before criticizing my preview, you need to read it. "In fact, they (Ordabasy) lost 7 of the last 8 matches played against Astana." Do you want to guess what is the only match that Ordabasy didn't lose? What's really funny now? Haha!!

Thank you Alois...hoping for a great win!
08/07/2017 - 13:14
@Vilcox, forget about that punk Joey. He is terrible doing picks himself and his pathetic FC Copenhagen team lost yesterday to rival Brøndby and FCK fans were a DISGRACE as usual.

Keep up your great work Vilcox.
08/07/2017 - 13:30
Odds dropped to 1.25 @ bet365.

Wanted to go for it but not worth it anymore - good work Vilcox.
08/07/2017 - 14:00
Mk Junior Jr
Nice preview @vilcox
But to me Ordabasy is playing well lately despite loosing 7x of their last 8meetings , they are 2nd best team in terms of defence and in terms of away performance they are 3rd and the only game they performed against astana is the current one , this season beating them 3-0
Besides all the above ordabasy have enough rest to play well than astana
Everything favours Ordabasy here despite playing away I see value on this Handicap (+2)Ordabasy @odds 2+
08/07/2017 - 14:11
@dude Thank you very much for your support! I appreciate it!

@dj.imw it's clear that these odds are not worth the risk now. That's why I posted yesterday as there was value. Odds were 1.22 on Bet365 before kickoff.

@MkJuniorJr You are right, Ordabasy is playing without doubts good but it's very hard to play against Astana on the road. Considering that every Astana's home win came with at least two goals of difference, I don't like that handicap as it's very risky. I prefere Astana to win but obviously, after odds dropped, it's better to avoid this match.

Anyway, game on!! Good luck to everyone!
08/07/2017 - 14:37
I lost a lot of money based on your prediction. Never to read you again
08/07/2017 - 15:58
Easy winner, ty.
08/07/2017 - 16:20
1:0 Astana 93min what a luck :DD
@Genc What did you lose, cause his prediction is right?
08/07/2017 - 16:23
Nice one
08/07/2017 - 16:23
Please @genc never follow me again!!! I don't want to read you anymore!

@dude We have to be honest...that was not easy but still a good win!! ;)
08/07/2017 - 16:24
Mk Junior Jr
I won and congratulations to those who listen
08/07/2017 - 16:26
Thank you Vilcox!
08/07/2017 - 16:31
@Vilcox, I know:) just a little sarcasm to Genc. And not a word from the genius Joey now, LOL.
08/07/2017 - 16:38
Congratulations on striking lucky on this wheel of fortune pick. The win was anything but great.
08/07/2017 - 17:00
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