Sundsvall vs Ostersunds by Vilcox

Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
As I imagine, most of you don't like to bet on underdogs but this is a big value bet and I don't want to lose these big odds for asian handicap +0.5 for the home team. Bookmakers consider Ostersund as clear favourite but I completely disagree with them and I will explain why.


Sundsvall is ranked 13th after 17 matches played. They are not in a great shape as they lost 3 of the last 5 matches but, in the last 3 games, they showed some good improvements. In fact, they won against Halmstad 1-0, then they drew 2-2 playing on the road against them and they lost only 0-1 against Malmo, the best team in the league. They were very unlucky in that match as Malmo scored in the last minutes of the match.


Ostersund, on other hand, have 27 points. They are -3 from Europa League zone but It's clear that they are focusing on Europa League.


Since 9 July, they are playing each 3 days...that means they have played 8 matches in less than one month...just unreal! It's clear that they have not a top class team and they have not big players to make turnover. In these 8 games played, they were able to win 4 matches but 3 of these wins came in Europa League against Galatasaray and twice against Fola. They won only one of the last 5 matches played in the league. It's true that it will not be Europa League next week but Ostersund's player need to rest and this will be not their best match of the season for sure. Also, they are not a strong team when playing away from home as they won only 2 matches out of 8 played.


Since 2013, these two teams met 3 times with Sundsvall playing at home and the home side always won. I don't see Ostersund taking 3 points from this match.

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Pick Bookmaker Odds Stake Result
1 AH+0.5 Unibet 1.82 8 1-1 WON (+6.56 units)
+8 0
Comments (3)
Pick won IMO.
08/06/2017 - 13:23
Checked their meetings (not counting friendlies), the HOME team always wins, it's like they are playing 3 for 3. Given that and what you wrote I'm gonna go for straight home win.
08/06/2017 - 14:09
Never say that before the final whistle or even before the match starts! Everything can happen. All I can see is that this seems to be the best bet for this game. Good luck!
08/06/2017 - 14:16
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