Apoel vs Viitorul by Vilcox
It's very hot today in Nicosia (39° now, about 35° expected this evening for this game) so I think that both players will rest energy especially for the last minutes of this match.
It's true that APOEL need to rush things but not extremely. They know that conceding a goal means almost lose the tie (if they concede a goal, they need 3 to qualify) and they will be carefull especially on defense.
APOEL is a team that usually defends very well especially when playing at home (6 of their last 8 matches played in front of their fans were under 2,5 with only 4 goals conceded). I think that they will not rush things a lot especially in the first half. They should have more ball possession than their opponents but it will be not easy to score against a very organised defense (as happened in the first leg). After a terrible first leg, they will be fully motivated but I'm not expecting them to score more than 2 goals today against a good defense.
Viitorul Constanta, on the other hand, will try to defend the result. They know that it's very hard to score against APOEL (as I said before, they were lucky to do that in the fist leg) and it's even harder when you play away from home. Even in case of 1-0, they will still defend the result and they will not force anything in my opinion.
As surely most of you, I don't like to bet against goals but it's the best bet for this match. Considering weather and what happened in the first leg, I don't think that we will see more than 2 goals scored. Also, another very interesting bet with great value is "home win + under 2,5" but under 2,5 it's surely a safer bet.
|Under 2,5||Pinnacle||1.62||9||1-0 WON (+5.58 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.