Helsinki vs HIFK by Vilcox
Pick based on Asian handicap. Not familiar with handicaps? Read our Asian handicap betting guide
HJK Helsinki is obviously ranked 1st in the league as they have 39 points after 18 matches played. 22 of these points came when playing at home as they are almost unbeatable in their stadium. In fact, they won 7 matches out of 8 played and the only team able to stop them with a draw was Inter Turku (they scored 1-1 in the 3rd minute of the additional time in the 2nd half so HJK was very unlucky in that game). The most remarkable stat in HJK's matches at home is their monstrous defense as they have conceded only 2 goals in 8 matches. After Inter Turku, the only team that was able to score against HJK playing away from home was Kemi but they still have lost that game 3-1. Also, HJK have an average of more than 3 goals scored per game at home as they have scored 25 goals in these 8 matches. Fabolous offense! All of the 7 home wins by HJK in the league came with more than 1 goal of difference and this game will be not an excepcion in my opinion. Also, VPS (2nd in the league) drew just two days ago against Ilves on the road, so this is a big chance for HJK to secure even more the first spot in Veikkausliiga.
HIFK, on the other hand, is the 2nd worst team in the league. In fact, they were able to collect only 14 points in 18 matches played until now. Paradoxically, they have played better on the road than at home as they collecred 2 points more playing away from home (8 points). 5 of these 8 points were draws as they were able to win only against JJK (the worst team in the league by far). The only positive thing is that they have lost only 2 matches on the road. HIFK is coming to this match after 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 4 matches. They have played 3 of these matches away from home: they drew 1-1 against Marienham and 2-2 against Rovaniemi while they lost 4-1 against Lahti and 1-4 against KuPS at home. In these 4 matches, their only "positive" result was the draw against Mariehamn as they were almost even favourite against Rovaniemi. As we can notice, their main problem is defense. 11 goals conceded in the last 4 matches are too much and today, they have a match against a team that has an average of 3+ goals scored at home per game. Even if they will play defensive minded, I don't expect them to stop HJK powerfull offense and they will concede 2 or 3 goals (if not more).
I think that HJK will dominate this game from the beginning. They will have a lot of chances to score and they will win this match with more than one goal of difference.
|1 AH-1.5||Sbobet||1.91||10||2-0 WON (+9.1 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.