Berdych vs Berdych by Marci
This week we have 3 tournaments and one of those is part of 250 series held in beautiful city of Los Cabos in Mexico. This will be 2nd time this tournament is held here and 2nd this season which is held in Mexico and have few very good players for 250 series. I see 4 players who should be considered favourites and those are Tomas Berdych, Sam Querrey, Feliciano Lopez and Ivo Karlovic.
First seed and my pick to win this tournament is Tomas Berdych (14.) from Czech Republic. Former number 4 in the world , yes, number 4, I have no idea either how he managed to do it, but still he is great player with problems on finishing big tournaments. Gladly this isnt one of those, this one is actually weakest and he didnt lose many matches against weaker players this season, but still is looking for his first title this season.
Second seed Sam Querrey (24.) is definitely interesting player to watch this tournament. It is first for him since reaching Semi Finals of Wimbledon (same as Berdych). He is dangerous player on fast surfaces with strong serve and better game behind the line in every season. He won first tournament held in Mexico this season in which he has beaten Goffin, Thiem, Kyrgios and Nadal what is definitely proof that he can go till the end, but I doubt that he will do it here because he is on of those players who can lose from anyone with similar quality as him what he and showed last time when he played here and lost his first match against GIraldo.
Fourth seed Feliciano Lopez (28.) exploded on 2 tournaments when he reached finals back to back and won London and that is basically all he did this season. This left handed veteran is landmine for everyone, but is questionable if he is 100% after return from injury. I see him more as potential threat than winner, but still his presence needs to be adressed and noted.
5th seed and tallest player in game Ivo Karlovic (31.) is a player no one wants to play against ever. His service is well best ever and honestly that is only thing he have and it is enough to win against almost everyone. He is defending title here and will be interesting to see how will he look on this tournament because since taking title last year he is 22-23.
Other notable players are left handed Spaniards Fernando Verdasco and Albert Ramos Vinolas who is having best season , but he isnt really good at hard surface and well there are some nextgen players who can explode at any time, but its hard to expect them to win - Kokkinakis, Tiafoe, Fritz and Escobero who won last year challenger in Monterrey and reached 2nd round in Acapulco so he has some experience in Mexico.
Biggest reason for me to pick Berdych to win this tournament is draw, in my opinion he had big luck and have much easier way to final than his biggest threats. In 2nd round he will play against Kravchuk/Santillan , in QF Fratangelo (2-0) or Mannarino (4-0) and then in SF 3rd seeded Ramos (against who he have 2-0) if he dont lose before against likes of Kukushkin (2-0), Kokkinakis or Tiafoe. So no one on his side of draw didnt ever win against him while on other side of draw we have Querrey, Karlovic, Lopez and Verdasco who all have legitimate reasons to look at the trophy and there are still few possible landmines like Escobero or Dzumhur. And in finals it can go eithre way, but I am standing behind Berdych who have bad score against Lopez (6-8) and Karlovic (3-5) while positive against Verdasco (10-4) and Querrey (5-1).
|Berdych to win||Bet365||2.75||8||Lost LOST (-8 units)|
* Odds as of post published time and are subject to change.